Cruz Misses the Hoosier Hoop, Trump Slam Dunks It

Cruz Misses the Hoosier Hoop, Trump Slam Dunks It

(It took more time to phrase the title, than it will to do the math.)

Then Cruz suspended his campaign. All week, the media said that he is out of monetary supporters. It’s better for his reputation in the future to not accumulate more embarrassing defeats.

The media is talking as if Ted Cruz’s career is over. Ted Cruz is only 45, while Trump is 69, and Sanders is 74. That means he can run in seven more presidential elections. A lot of presidential candidates have lost and come back, like Clinton lost to Obama, Ronald Reagan lost to Gerald Ford, and Richard Nixon lost to John F. Kennedy. Cruz is still a Senator and on the Armed Services Committee, the Judiciary committee, and the Science committee. He can go after Trump or Clinton’s presidential actions on foreign involvements, on military strength, on the Supreme Court and other judicial appointments, and on climate change. If he can just remember all five agencies that he will be paid to abolish, and what a basketball ring is called, and how voters reject deals between candidates, he can do better.

So far, Trump has 53%, Cruz 37%, and Kasich 8%. Even adding the Cruz-Kasich alliance, they only have 45%, which is 8% behind Trump. The Indiana delegates are 27 from 9 congressional districts, plus 30 others, for a total of 57, in a winner-take-all state statewide and by district. With two districts undecided, Trump has 51 delegates now. He says it looks like he will win all 57, so we will use that.

Trump’s total is now 1057. With 1,237 needed to win the Republican nomination, Trump now only needs 180 more delegates.

There are still 279 winner-take-all delegates in four states to be won on June 7. These are California with 172, Montana with 27, New Jersey with 51, and South Dakota with 29. Even if Trump only winner-took-all California with 172, he would almost be there. Besides the 279 winner-take-all delegates, there are 166 delegates in other states. So the total remaining is 445.

The remaining other type primaries with 166 total delegates are on:

May 10: Nebraska with 36, and West Virginia with 34;

May 17: Oregon with 28;

May 24: Washington with 44 as winner-take-most; and

June 7; New Mexico with 24.

With Trump having 1057, Cruz has 570, Rubio has 173, and Kasich has 157.
Since Trump is assured of being the Republican nominee, he is now trying to champion unity, and focus on Hillary Clinton.

Update:  Ohio Gov. John Kasich is going to announce the suspension of his campaign at 5 pm Eastern on May 4.

About Dennis SILVERMAN

I am a retired Professor of Physics and Astronomy at U C Irvine. For two decades I have been active in learning about energy and the environment, and in reporting on those topics for a decade. For the last four years I have added science policy. Lately, I have been reporting on the Covid-19 pandemic of our times.
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