Republican Voters’ Dilemma in Swing Senatorial Candidates

Republican Voters’ Dilemma in Swing Senatorial and Representative Candidates

 

Republican Senators and Representatives who are in a swing state or district election have had a hard choice to make, especially this weekend, as to whether to stick with the now Creepy Donald Trump, or to back out of their endorsement of him. Clearly there are two aspects of their decisions, their personal integrity and perhaps religious beliefs, and the plain calculation based on voter preference.

 

If the Congressmen stick to the slimy Trump, they will keep their dedicated Trump supporters, but risk losing independents, or risk losing marginal Trump supporters who seem to be defecting from him rather rapidly. The NBC/WSJ poll released today, Oct. 10, taken after creepy Friday, but not Monday’s second debate, shows Clinton with an 11-point lead at 46%, and Trump down to 35%, in a four way poll.

 

Some interviewed Trump supporters in the swing states are currently saying that they will not vote for a candidate that will abandon Trump, in his moment of needing to crawl out of the swamp, which he dove back into with the surprise Bill Clinton shaming. Trump has essentially asked his supporters to not vote for defecting candidates, by predicting that defecting candidates would lose their elections.

 

The real point of this article is that it is not in Trump’s interest as a President to lose the Senate, which could easily happen if Republican Senate candidates in swing elections lost Trump voters’ support. The only way the Republican voter’s defection from their Senate candidates would be in Trump’s interest, would be if he knew he was going to lose, and wanted to take the defecting candidates down with him. For Trump to govern with a hostile Senate would not allow him to carry out his program of radical changes. Hence, the solution of the Republican’s voter’s dilemma would be to continue to vote for even the defecting Senatorial and House candidates as well.

About Dennis SILVERMAN

I am a retired Professor of Physics and Astronomy at U C Irvine. For two decades I have been active in learning about energy and the environment, and in reporting on those topics for a decade. For the last four years I have added science policy. Lately, I have been reporting on the Covid-19 pandemic of our times.
This entry was posted in 2016 Election, Clinton, Donald Trump, Politics, Swing States. Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply