PEER-REVIEWED JOURNAL ARTICLES
Silver, A. M., Alvarez-Vargas, D., Bailey, D. H., & Libertus, M. (in press). Assessing the association between parents’ math talk and children’s math performance: A preregistered meta-analysis. Journal of Experimental Child Psychology.
Cristancho, J. C., Bailey, D. H., Duncan, G. J., Molano, A., Harker, A., & Norza, E. (2024). Effects of homicide timing on test scores: Quasi-experimental evidence from two cities in Colombia. Child Development. Link
Wan, S., Lauermann, F., Bailey, D. H., & Eccles, J. S. (2023). Girls’ Comparative Advantage in Language Arts Explains Little of the Gender Gap in Math-Related Fields: A Replication and Extension. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 120, e2305629120. Link
Aung, T., Hill, A, Hlay, J., Hess, C., Hess, M., Johnson, J., Doll, L., Carlson, S.M., Magdinec, C., González-Santoyo, I., Walker, R., Bailey, D., Arnocky, S., Kamble, S., Vardy, T., Kyritsis, T., Atkinson, Q., Jones, B., Koster, J., Burns, J., Palomo-Vélez, G., Tybur, J., Muñoz-Reyes, J., Choy, B.K.C., Li, N., Langenhoff, A., Klar, V., Batres, C., Bascheck, P., Schild, C., Penke, L., Pazhoohi, F., Kemirembe, K., Valentova, J.V., Varella, M.A.C., Borras-Guevara, M., Hodges-Simeon, C., Ernst, M., Garr, C., Chen, B., and Puts, D. (accepted). Effects of voice pitch on social perceptions vary with relational mobility and homicide rate. Psychological Science. Link
Pages, R., Bailey, D. H., & Duncan, G. J. (2023). The Impacts of Abecedarian and Head Start on Educational Attainment: Reasoning about Unobserved Mechanisms from Temporal Patterns of Indirect Effects. Early Childhood Research Quarterly, 65, 261-274. PDF
Alvarez-Vargas, D., Braithwaite, D., Lortie-Forgues, H., Moore, M. M., Castro, M., Wan, S., Martin, E. A. & Bailey, D. H. (2023). Hedges, mottes, and baileys: causally ambiguous statistical language can increase perceived study quality and policy relevance. PLoS ONE, 18: e0286403. Link
Alvarez-Vargas, D., Begolli, K. N., Choc, M., Acevedo-Farag, L. M., Bailey, D. H., Richland, L., & Bustamante, A. (2023). Fraction Ball impacts on student and teacher math talk and behavior. Journal of Experimental Child Psychology, 239, 105777. Link
Lee, H. R., Tang, X., Alvarez-Vargas, D., Yang, J. S., Bailey, D., Simpkins, S. D., Safavian, N., Gaspard, H., Salmela-Aro, K., Moeller, J., Eccles, J. S., & Wigfield, A. (2023). Networks and Directed Acyclic Graphs: Initial Steps to Efficiently Examine Causal Relations between Expectancies, Values, and Prior Achievement. Current Psychology, 1-17. Link
Wan, S., Brick, T. R., Alvarez-Vargas, D., & Bailey, D. H. (2023). Triangulating on Developmental Models with a Combination of Experimental and Non-Experimental Estimates. Developmental Psychology, 59, 216-228. Link
Wan, S., Lauermann, F., Bailey, D. H., & Eccles, J. S. (2023). Developmental Changes in Students’ Use of Dimensional Comparisons to Form Ability Self-Concepts in Math and Verbal Domains. Child Development, 94, 272-287. Link
Alvarez-Vargas, D., Wan, S., Fuchs, L. S., Klein, A., & Bailey, D. H. (2023). Design and Analytic Features for Reducing Biases in Skill-Building Intervention Impact Forecasts. Journal of Research on Educational Effectiveness, 16, 271-299. Link
Frick, C., Blümm, M., Randall, N., Küçük, B., & Bailey, D. (2023). A reality check on research reproducibility in Open Science students’ projects. API Magazin, 4(2).
Chen, E., Jaeggi, S. M., & Bailey, D. H. (2022). No clear support for differential influences of visuospatial and phonological resources on mental arithmetic: A Registered Report. Journal of Numerical Cognition, 8, 259-280. Link
Wan, S., Lauermann, F., Bailey, D. H., & Eccles, J. S. (2021). When do students begin to think that one has to be either a “math person” or a “language person”? A meta-analytic review. Psychological Bulletin, 147, 867–889. Link
Bustamante, A. S., Begolli, K. N., Alvarez-Vargas, D., Bailey, D. H., & Richland, L. E. (2022). Fraction ball: Playful and physically active fraction and decimal learning. Journal of Educational Psychology, 114(6), 1307–1320. Link
Qiu, K., Chen, E. H., Wan, S., & Bailey, D. H. (2021). A multilevel meta-analysis on the causal effect of approximate number system training on symbolic math performance. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 47, 1820-1835. Link
Pages, R., Protzko, J., & Bailey, D. H. (2021). The Breadth of Impacts from the Abecedarian Project Early Intervention on Cognitive Skills. Journal of Research on Educational Effectiveness, 1-20. Link
Bailey, D. H., Duncan, G. J., Murnane, R., & Au Yeung, N. (2021). Achievement Gaps in the Wake of COVID-19. Educational Researcher, 0013189X211011237. Link
Wan, S., Bond, T. N., Lang, K., Clements, D. C., Sarama, J., & Bailey, D. H. (2021). Is intervention fadeout a scaling artefact?. Economics of Education Review, 82, 102090. Link
Bailey, D. H., Duncan, G. J., Cunha, F., Foorman, B. R., & Yeager, D. S. (2020). Persistence and Fade-Out of Educational-Intervention Effects: Mechanisms and Potential Solutions. Psychological Science in the Public Interest, 21(2), 55-97. Link
McMullen, J., Lewis, R. W., & Bailey, D. H. (2020). Latent classes from complex assessments: What do they tell us? Learning and Individual Differences, 83, 101944. Link
Bailey, D. H., Jenkins, M., & Alvarez-Vargas, D. (2020). Complementarities between Early Educational Intervention and Later Educational Quality? A Systematic Review of the Sustaining Environments Hypothesis. Developmental Review, 56, 100910. Link
Brick, T. R., & Bailey, D. H. (2020). Rock the MIC: The Matrix of Implied Causation, a Tool for Experimental Design and Model Checking. Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science, 2515245920922775. Link
Chen, E. H., & Bailey, D. H. (2021). Dual-Task Studies of Working Memory and Arithmetic Performance: A Meta-Analysis. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 47, 220-233. Link
Pages, R., Lukes, D. J., Bailey, D. H., & Duncan, G. J. (2020). Elusive longer-run impacts of head start: replications within and across cohorts. Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis, 0162373720948884. Link
*Please carefully consider the population to which you wish to generalize if citing this article.
Bailey, D. H., Oh, Y., Farkas, G., Morgan, P., & Hillemeier, M. (2020). Reciprocal Effects of Reading and Mathematics? Beyond the Cross-Lagged Panel Model. Developmental Psychology, 56, 912-921. Link
Watts, T. W., Bailey, D. H., & Li, C. (2019). Aiming Further: Addressing the Need for High Quality Longitudinal Research in Education. Journal of Research on Educational Effectiveness, 12, 648-658. Link
Nguyen, T., Duncan, R. J., & Bailey, D. H. (2019). Theoretical and methodological implications of associations between executive function and mathematics in early childhood. Journal of Contemporary Educational Psychology, 58, 276-287. Link
Castro, M. K., Bailey, D. H., Zinger, J. F., & Martin, E. A. (2019). Late electrophysiological potentials and emotion in schizophrenia: A meta-analytic review. Schizophrenia Research, 211, 21-31. Link
Bailey, D. H., Fuchs, L. S., Gilbert, J. K., Geary, D. C., & Fuchs, D. (2020). Prevention: Necessary but insufficient? A two-year follow-up of effective first-grade mathematics intervention. Child Development, 91, 382-400. Link
Kang, C., Duncan, G. J., Clements, D., & Sarama, J, & Bailey, D. H. (2019). The roles of transfer of learning and forgetting in the persistence and fadeout of early childhood mathematics interventions. Journal of Educational Psychology, 111, 590-603. Link
Jünger, J., Motta-Mena, N. V., Cardenas, R., Bailey, D. H., Rosenfield, K. A., Schild, C., Penke, L., & Puts, D. A. (2018). Do women’s preferences for masculine voices shift across the ovulatory cycle? Hormones and Behavior, 106, 122-134. Link
Bailey, D. H., Duncan, G. J., Watts, T., Clements, D., & Sarama, J. (2018). Risky business: Correlation and causation in longitudinal studies of skill development. American Psychologist, 73, 81-94. Link
Bailey, D. H., Duncan, G., Odgers, C., & Yu, W. (2017). Persistence and fadeout in the impacts of child and adolescent interventions. Journal of Research on Educational Effectiveness, 10, 7-39. Link
Bailey, D. H., Hansen, N., & Jordan, N. C. (2017). The co-development of children’s fraction arithmetic skill and fraction magnitude understanding. Journal of Educational Psychology, 109, 509-519. Link
Bailey, D. H., Nguyen, T., Jenkins, J. M., Domina, T., Clements, D. H., & Sarama, J. S. (2016). Fadeout in an early mathematics intervention: Constraining content or pre-existing differences? Developmental Psychology, 52, 1457-1469. Link
Watts, T. W., Clements, D. H., Sarama, J., Wolfe, C. B., Spitler, M. E., & Bailey, D. H. (2017). Does early mathematics intervention change the processes underlying children’s learning? Journal of Research on Educational Effectiveness, 10, 96-115. Link
Bailey, D. H. & Littlefield, A. K. (2017). Does reading cause later intelligence? Accounting for stability in models of change. Child Development, 88, 1913-1921. Link
Schenke, K., Rutherford, T., Lam, A. C., & Bailey, D. H. (2016). Construct confounding among predictors of mathematics achievement. AERA Open, 2, 2332858416648930. Link
Puts, D. A., Hill, A. K., Bailey, D. H., Walker, R. S., Rendall, D. Wheatley, J. R., Welling, L. L. M., Dawood. K., Cárdenas, R., Burriss, R. P., Jablonski, N. G., Shriver, M. D., Weiss, D., Lameira, A. R., Apicella, C. L., Owren, M. J., Barelli, C., Glenn, M. E., & Ramos-Fernandez, G. (2016). Sexual selection on male vocal fundamental frequency in humans and other anthropoids. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B: Biological Sciences, 283, 20152830. Link
Stoet, G., Bailey, D. H., Moore, A. M., & Geary, D. C. (2016). Countries with higher levels of gender equality show larger national sex differences in mathematics anxiety and relatively lower parental mathematics valuation for girls. PLoS ONE, 11, e0153857. Link
Ellsworth, R. M., Shenk, M. K., Bailey, D. H., & Walker, R. S. (2016). Comparative study of reproductive skew and pair-bond stability using genealogies from 80 small-scale human societies. American Journal of Human Biology, 28, 335-342. PDF
Bailey, D. H., Zhou, X., Zhang, Y., Cui, J., Fuchs, L. S., Jordan, N. C., Gersten, R., & Siegler, R. S. (2015). Development of fraction concepts and procedures in U.S. and Chinese children. Journal of Experimental Child Psychology, 129, 68-83. PDF
Martin, E. A., Cicero, D. C., Bailey, D. H., Karcher, N. R., & Kerns, J. G. (2016). Social anhedonia is not just extreme introversion: Empirical evidence of distinct constructs. Journal of Personality Disorders, 30, 451-468. PDF
Walker, R. S., Yvinec C., Ellsworth, R. M., & Bailey, D. H. (2015). Co-father relationships among the Suruí (Paiter) of Brazil. PeerJ, 3, e899. Link
Bailey, D. H., Watts, T. W., Littlefield, A. K., & Geary, D. C. (2014). State and trait effects on individual differences in children’s mathematical development. Psychological Science, 25, 2017-2026. PDF
- Relevant piece: Bailey, D. H. What’s the point of teaching math in preschool? The Brown Center Chalkboard, retrieved from http://www.brookings.edu/research/papers/2014/11/13-chalkboard-preschool-math-bailey.
Fazio, L. K., Bailey, D. H., Thompson, C. A., & Siegler, R. S. (2014). Relations of different types of numerical magnitude representations to each other and to mathematics achievement. Journal of Experimental Child Psychology, 123, 53-72. PDF
Bailey, D. H., Siegler, R. S., & Geary, D. C. (2014). Early predictors of middle school fraction knowledge. Developmental Science, 17, 775-785. PDF
Li, Y., Bailey, D. H., Winegard, B., Puts, D. A., Welling, L. L. M., & Geary, D. C. (2014). Women’s preference for masculine traits is disrupted by images of male-on-female aggression. PLoS ONE, 9, e110497. Link
Bailey, D. H., Hill, K. R., & Walker, R. S. (2014). Fitness consequences of spousal relatedness in 46 small-scale societies. Biology Letters, 10, 20140160. PDF
Ellsworth, R. M., Walker, R. S., Bailey, D. H., Hill, K. R., & Hurtado, A. M. (2014). Relatedness, co-residence, and shared fatherhood among Ache foragers of Paraguay. Current Anthropology, 55, 647-653. PDF
Walker, R. S., & Bailey, D. H. (2014). Marrying kin in small-scale societies. American Journal of Human Biology, 26, 384–388. PDF
Wheatley, J. R., Apicella, C. A., Burriss, R. P., Cárdenas, R. A., Bailey, D. H., Welling, L. L. M., & Puts, D. A. (2014). Women’s faces and voices are cues to reproductive potential in industrial and forager societies. Evolution and Human Behavior, 35, 264-271. PDF
Siegler, R. S., Fazio, L. K., Bailey, D. H., & Zhou, X. (2013) Fractions: The new frontier for theories of numerical development. Trends in Cognitive Sciences, 17, 13-19. PDF
Geary, D. C., Hoard, M. K., Nugent, L., & Bailey, D. H. (2013). Adolescents’ functional numeracy is predicted by their school entry number system knowledge. PLoS ONE, 8, e54651. Link
Bailey, D. H., Walker, R. S., Blomquist, G. E., Hill, K. R., Hurtado, A. M. & Geary, D. C. (2013). Heritability and fitness correlates of personality in the Ache, a natural-fertility population in Paraguay. PLoS ONE, 8, e59325. Link
Puts, D. A., Bailey, D. H., Cárdenas, R. A., Burriss, R. P., Welling, L. L., Wheatley, J. R., & Dawood, K. (2013). Women’s attractiveness changes with estradiol and progesterone across the ovulatory cycle. Hormones and Behavior, 63, 13-19. PDF
Walker, R. S., & Bailey, D. H. (2013). Body counts in lowland South American violence.Evolution & Human Behavior, 34, 29-34. PDF
Ellsworth, R. M, & Bailey, D. H. (2013). Female orgasm as evolved signal: A test of two hypotheses. Archives of Sexual Behavior, 42, 1545-1554. PDF
Bailey, D. H., Hoard, M. K., Nugent, L., & Geary, D. C. (2012). Competence with fractions predicts gains in mathematics achievement. Journal of Experimental Child Psychology, 113, 447-455. PDF
Bailey, D. H., Littlefield, A., & Geary, D. C. (2012). The co-development of skill at and preference for use of retrieval-based processes for solving addition problems: Individual and sex differences from first to sixth grade. Journal of Experimental Child Psychology, 113, 78-92. PDF
Geary, D. C., Hoard, M. K., Nugent, L., & Bailey, D. H. (2012). Mathematical cognition deficits in children with learning disabilities and persistent low achievement: A five year prospective study. Journal of Educational Psychology, 104, 206-223. PDF
Bailey, D. H., Hamilton, M. J. & Walker, R. S. (2012). Latitude, population size, and the language-farming dispersal hypothesis. Evolutionary Ecology Research, 14, 1057-1067. PDF
Martin, E. A., Bailey, D. H., Cicero, D. C., & Kerns, J. G. (2012). Social networking profile correlates of schizotypy. Psychiatry Research, 200, 641-646. PDF
*Jašarević, E., Bailey, D. H., Crossland, J. P., Dawson, W. D., Szalai, G., Ellersieck, M. R., Rosenfeld, C. S., & Geary, D. C. (2012). Evolution of monogamy, parental investment, and female life history in Peromyscus. Journal of Comparative Psychology, 127, 91-102. PDF*EJ and DHB contributed equally
Bailey, D. H., Winegard, B., Oxford, J., & Geary, D. C. (2012). Sex differences in in-group cooperation vary dynamically with competitive conditions and outcomes. Evolutionary Psychology, 10, 102-119. PDF
Geary, D. C., Hoard, M. K., & Bailey, D. H. (2011). Fact retrieval deficits in low achieving children and children with mathematical learning disability. Journal of Learning Disabilities, 45, 291-307.PDF
Bailey, D. H., Durante, K. M., & Geary, D. C. (2011). Men’s perception of women’s attractiveness is calibrated to relative mate value and dominance of the women’s partner. Evolution & Human Behavior, 32, 138-146. PDF
Eriksson, K., Bailey, D. H., & Geary, D. C. (2010). The grammar of approximating number pairs. Memory & Cognition, 38, 333-343. PDF
Puts, D. A., Cárdenas, R. A., Bailey, D. H., Burriss, R. P. Jordan, C. L., & Breedlove, S. M. (2010). Salivary testosterone does not predict mental rotation performance in men or women. Hormones and Behavior, 58, 282-289. PDF
Geary, D. C., Bailey, D. H., Littlefield, A., Wood, P., Hoard, M. K., & Nugent, L. (2009). First-grade predictors of mathematical learning disability: A latent class trajectory analysis. Cognitive Development, 24, 411-429. PDF
Geary, D. C., Bailey, D. H., & Hoard, M. K. (2009). Predicting mathematical achievement and mathematical learning disability with a simple screening tool: The number sets test. Journal of Psychoeducational Assessment, 27, 265-279. PDF
Bailey, D. H., & Geary, D. C. (2009). Hominid brain evolution: Testing climactic, ecological, and social competition models. Human Nature, 20, 67-79. PDF
BOOK CHAPTERS
Wai, J., & Bailey, D. H. (in press). How intelligence research can inform public policy. In: The Cambridge Handbook of Intelligence and Cognitive Neuroscience, A. K. Barbey, S. Karama, & R. J. Haier (eds.).
Bailey, D. H. (2019). Explanations and Implications of Diminishing Intervention Impacts across Time. In: Cognitive Foundations for Improving Mathematical Learning, Volume 5. Geary, D., Berch, D., & Koepke, K. M. (eds.). Academic Press.
Bailey, D. H. (2018). Correlational data analysis in cognitive development: The primacy of risky tests. In: Cognitive Development from a Strategy Perspective: A Festschrift for Robert Siegler. Lemaire, P. (ed.), pp. 194-206. Routledge.
Hill, A. K., Bailey, D. H., & Puts, D. A. (2017). Gorillas in our midst? Human sexual dimorphism and contest competition in men. In: On Human Nature: Biology, Psychology, Ethics, Politics, and Religion. Tibayrenc, M. and Ayala, F.J. (eds.). Academic Press, 235-249. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-420190-3.00015-6
Puts, D. A., Bailey, D. H., & Reno, P. (2015). Contest competition in men. In Buss, D. M. (Ed.), The Handbook of Evolutionary Psychology, 2nd ed. (pp. 385-402). Hoboken, NJ: Wiley.
Geary, D. C., Hoard, M. K., & Bailey, D. H. (2011). How SLD manifests in mathematics. In Flanagan, D. P., & Alfonso, V. C. (Eds.), Essentials of Specific Learning Disability Identification (pp. 43-64). Hoboken, NJ: Wiley.
Geary, D. C., Bailey, D. H., & Oxford, J. K. (2011). Reflections on the human family. In C. A. Salmon & T. K. Shackelford (Eds.), Oxford Handbook of Evolutionary Family Psychology (pp. 365-385). New York: Oxford University Press.
COMMENTARIES
Nguyen, T. & Bailey, D. H. (2021). Drawing General Conclusions from Null Effects of a Prekindergarten Curriculum: Challenges and Solutions. [Peer commentary on the article “Effects of prekindergarten curricula: Tools of the Mind as a case study” by K. T. Nesbitt and D. C. Farran]. Monograph Matters.
Bailey, D. H. (2017). Causal Inference and the Spatial-Math Link in Early Childhood. Monograph of the Society for Research in Child Development, 82, 127–136.
Del Giudice, M., Lippa, R. A., Puts, D. A., Bailey, D. H., Bailey, J. M., & Schmitt, D. P. (2016). Joel et al.’s method systematically fails to detect large, consistent sex differences. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA. Link
Bailey, D. H. What’s the point of teaching math in preschool? The Brown Center Chalkboard, retrieved from http://www.brookings.edu/research/papers/2014/11/13-chalkboard-preschool-math-bailey.
Bailey, D. H., Ellingson, J. M., & Bailey, J. M. (2014). Genetic confounds in the study of sexual orientation: Comment on Roberts, Glymour, and Koenen (2014). Archives of Sexual Behavior. PDF
Bailey, D. H., & Bailey, J. M. (2013). Poor instruments lead to poor inferences: Comment on Roberts, Glymour, and Koenen (2013). Archives of Sexual Behavior, 42, 1649-1652. PDF
Bailey, D. H., Lippa, R. A., Del Giudice, M., Hames, R., & Geary, D. C. (2012). Methodological problems in Hoffman et al. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 109, E583. PDF
Winegard, B., Bailey, D. H., Oxford, J. K., & Geary, D. C. (2010). Trade-offs and individual differences in evolved traits. American Psychologist, 65, 928-929.
Bailey, D. H., Oxford, J. K., & Geary, D. C. (2009). Ultimate and proximate influences on human sex differences. Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 32, 266-267. PDF
BOOK REVIEWS
Geary, D. C., Bailey, D. H., & Winegard, B. (2012). Strategic cooperation and the rise of the modern world. PsycCRITIQUES, 54.
Bailey, D. H., Winegard, B., & Geary, D. C. (2010). Not father’s fatherhood book. Evolutionary Psychology, 8, 336-339.
By clicking on the links you are considered to be requesting a single copy for personal use.