June 12 Update of CA 48th Congressional District

June 12 Update of CA 48th Congressional District

Now, 60% of the Orange County post Election Day votes have been counted. At this rate, they should be done by the end of this week.

In the CA 48th Congressional District, Republican incumbent Dana Rohrabacher is still the leader with 30.6% of the vote, and 42,405 votes.

The prized second place will be the only other candidate on the November Top Two ballot. Democrat Hans Keirstead is ahead with 23,969 and 17.3%. Closely behind is Democrat Harley Rouda, with 23,513 and 17.0%.

Keirstead’s lead has grown to 456 votes from 372 last night. This is 1.9% of Keirstead’s vote, but only 0.33% of the overall vote.

The next Republican is Scott Baugh with 22,375 votes. He is 1,594 votes behind Keirstead, or 6.7% of Keirstead’s vote.

The total vote in the 48th is now 138,420. The gain since last night is 5,238 votes. Three more nights like this one could add about 15,000 votes in this district. The unknown sampling of the County versus this District makes any predictions meaningless.

The Republican versus Democrat lead has grown from 7% to almost 8%, 53.5% to 45.6%.

About Dennis SILVERMAN

I am a retired Professor of Physics and Astronomy at U C Irvine. For two decades I have been active in learning about energy and the environment, and in reporting on those topics for a decade. For the last four years I have added science policy. Lately, I have been reporting on the Covid-19 pandemic of our times.
This entry was posted in 2018 California Primary, 2018 Midterm Election, Dana Rohrabacher CA 48th. Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply