Monthly Archives: March 2020

March 31. US Coronavirus Projections

March 31.  US Coronavirus Projections From the White House Coronavirus Task Force briefing today, presented by Dr. Dolores Birx, shows how Washington and California have a slower growth rate because they started early on programs of social separation.  They believe … Continue reading

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Range of Predictions for Coronavirus Deaths and Hospital Needs in IHME Modeling

Range of Model Predictions for Coronavirus Deaths and Hospital Needs in IHME Modeling While the Administration seems to work on ventilator needs at the center of the projections, this ignores the much larger range of needs.  These would translate into … Continue reading

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March 30 Coronavirus Report. The Flu is Rapidly Declining.

March 30 Coronavirus Report.  The Flu is Rapidly Declining. Some very good news.  The flu is rapidly declining, both A and B.  Here are the graphs. The A flu is the yellow bars added onto the green B flu.  Also … Continue reading

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March 29. Trump Sees the Light on Coronavirus

March 29.  Trump Sees The Light on Coronavirus Trump extends limits to April 30th.  Without stay-at-home, there could be 1.6-2.2 million deaths.  With the confinement steps, Dr. Fauci said 100,000 to 200,000 deaths.  Dr. Birx cited numbers of 80,000 to … Continue reading

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March 28. US Coronavirus Deaths Cross Two Thousand

Today, the US deaths crossed two thousand, to 2,191.  New York led with 834 deaths, of which 672 were from New York City.  New York also crossed the fifty thousand case mark. Here is today’s table of total cases, with … Continue reading

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Projected Coronavirus US and State Deaths, Peaks, and Hospital Needs

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) has produced projected Coronavirus evolution cases and deaths, and matched it against hospital resources, to project the hospital needs.  The paper is on the Med preprint archive MEDRXIV/2020/043752, linked here.  The IHME … Continue reading

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New York Coronavirus Data on March 28

New York Coronavirus Data on March 28 New York Governor Andrew Cuomo gave a news conference on CNN this morning.  I took pictures of his slides on New York Coronavirus data, and present them below.  President Trump has approved four … Continue reading

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March 27. The US Passes a Hundred Thousand Coronavirus Cases

March 27.  The US Passes a Hundred Thousand Coronavirus Cases Trump promises 100,000 ventilators in 100 days.  Sanjay Gupta:  have to tool up, many may not come until later in the 100 days.   Trump has dispute with New York Gov. … Continue reading

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Trump’s New York Coronavirus Apocalypse Now

Trump’s New York Coronavirus Apocalypse Now New York Governor Cuomo projects the need for 30,000 more ventilators at the projected peak in three weeks.  Donald Trump goes on Fox News with his feelings that New York doesn’t need them now.  … Continue reading

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March 26. The US is Now the Most Coronavirus Afflicted Country

March 26.  The US is Now the Most Coronavirus Afflicted Country The US now becomes the most afflicted country in Coronavirus cases, at 85,653, passing China at almost 82,000.  39,125 cases are from New York, and over 18,000 from New … Continue reading

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