A new article in JAMA, the Journal of the American Medical Association by Woolf et al., reports on excess deaths in the US and its states, from March 1 to August 1, 2020. Even if all of these are not directly due to Covid-19, it doesn’t make any difference to those who died or to those mourning for them. They are casualties of a pandemic that has been running wild in our country, while it has been stopped in many other countries.
In the US over the above 5 months there were 226,000 excess deaths, of which only 67% were attributed at least in part to Covid-19. That leaves 33% of them or a half uncounted in Covid-19 confirmed death reports.
We show results for individual states in a table, starting with the US and the four largest states by population, and then ordering states by excess mortality per 100,000. We then list their percent listed as due to Covid-19, and finally, their excess deaths over those expected in a normal period for those months.
|State||Excess Mortality per 100,000||% Listed as Covid-19||Excess Deaths|
For California, the 61% confirmed Covid-19 deaths means that 39% of excess deaths were not included. The ratio 39%/61% = 0.64 means that their were 64% more deaths than were attributed to Covid-18, during that time period.
For Texas, the 56% confirmed Covid-19 deaths means that 44% of excess deaths were not included. The ratio 44%/56% = 0.79 means that there were 79% more excess deaths than those attributed to Covid-19.
In Trump’s town hall, he said we did better in excess deaths than European countries, so he is well aware of this.