# US Excess Deaths Exceed Covid-19 Reported Deaths by 50%

A new article in JAMA, the Journal of the American Medical Association by Woolf et al., reports on excess deaths in the US and its states, from March 1 to August 1, 2020.  Even if all of these are not directly due to Covid-19, it doesn’t make any difference to those who died or to those mourning for them.  They are casualties of a pandemic that has been running wild in our country, while it has been stopped in many other countries.

In the US over the above 5 months there were 226,000 excess deaths, of which only 67% were attributed at least in part to Covid-19.  That leaves 33% of them or a half uncounted in Covid-19 confirmed death reports.

We show results for individual states in a table, starting with the US and the four largest states by population, and then ordering states by excess mortality per 100,000.  We then list their percent listed as due to Covid-19, and finally, their excess deaths over those expected in a normal period for those months.

 State Excess Mortality per 100,000 % Listed as Covid-19 Excess Deaths US 72 67% 225,530 CA 43 61% 17,002 TX 62 56% 17,772 FL 67 60% 14,250 NY 209 78% 40,863 NJ 202 78% 18,004 D.C. 129 74% 907 MA 120 95% 8,261 AZ 104 53% 7,471 MS 104 56% 3,104 MD 96 66% 5,809 DL 93 54% 899 RI 89 104% 940 MI 88 67% 8,797 IL 83 66% 10,601 AL 81 53% 3,936 SC 79 47% 4,009 PA 71 83% 9,106

For California, the 61% confirmed Covid-19 deaths means that 39% of excess deaths were not included.  The ratio 39%/61% = 0.64 means that their were 64% more deaths than were attributed to Covid-18, during that time period.

For Texas, the 56% confirmed Covid-19 deaths means that 44% of excess deaths were not included.  The ratio 44%/56% = 0.79 means that there were 79% more excess deaths than those attributed to Covid-19.

In Trump’s town hall, he said we did better in excess deaths than European countries, so he is well aware of this.