Author Archives: Dennis SILVERMAN

About Dennis SILVERMAN

I am a retired Professor of Physics and Astronomy at U C Irvine. For two decades I have been active in learning about energy and the environment, and in reporting on those topics for a decade. For the last four years I have added science policy. Lately, I have been reporting on the Covid-19 pandemic of our times.

IHME Global Covid Deaths Modeled at More Than Twice that which are Reported

IHME Global Covid Deaths Modeled at More Than Twice that which are Reported  The bad news is that the IHME model of total Covid deaths, as of April 1, 2023 of 18.6 million, will be more than twice that which … Continue reading

Posted in Coronavirus, COVID-19, Health Care, IHME Projections, Russia, Vaccine Distributions, Variants of Covid-19 | Leave a comment

IHME Projections of Covid Surge for China with Peaking Infections in Mid-March

IHME Projections of Covid Surge for China With Peaking Infections Mid-March The new December 16 issue of IHME Covid projections for China has fully vaccinated at 87%, with 59% masking.  Other sources say that China now has an inhaleable booster. … Continue reading

Posted in Coronavirus, COVID-19, Health Care, IHME Projections, Omicron Variant, Vaccine Distributions, Variants of Covid-19 | Leave a comment

Being Vaccinated and Boosted Reduces Covid Deaths of Seniors by a Factor of 10

In mid-2022, being vaccinated and boosted reduced the mortality of those 65 and over to only 10% of the unvaccinated in that age group. Since April 2022 to September 2022, for the senior 65 and over population, Covid deaths have … Continue reading

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Covid Mortality Currently Increasing a Factor of 3 for Each Decade Among the Elderly

The Washington Post has data for the increase in percent of covid deaths by decade among those 65 years and over.  This is for the month of October for the current viral mix.  We divide this by the population in … Continue reading

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Full Vaccinations for the US and the Four Largest States, Including by Ages

The data are from The NY Times for the US, the largest states of CA, TX, FL, and NY.  We also include the local counties of Los Angeles, Orange, and San Diego in California. Nationally, 68% are fully vaccinated, meaning … Continue reading

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IHME Covid Projections to March 1, 2023, for the United States

IHME Covid Projections to March 1, 2023 for the US This article includes the IHME model projections, now until March 1, 2023.  As usual, I am not a doctor or an epidemiologist so this is not to be considered authoritative, … Continue reading

Posted in BA.5 Variant, Coronavirus, COVID-19, IHME Projections, Vaccine Distributions, Variants of Covid-19 | Leave a comment

IHME Global Covid Projections to February, 2023

The Global Death Rate from Covid will remain relatively low through the next three months, only increasing from about 1,660 to about 2,750 per day, or 65%.  The modeled Total Death rate is about 1.7 times the Global Reported Death … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, BA.5 Variant, China, Coronavirus, COVID-19, IHME Projections, Russia, Ukraine, Vaccine Distributions, Variants of Covid-19 | Leave a comment

IHME Covid Projections for China to February, 2023

The very low number of Covid deaths in China look like it will peak and then somewhat decline.  However, by February, the total deaths are only projected to be 8.4 per 100,000, compared to 417 per 100k in the US, … Continue reading

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IHME Covid Projections for the US to February, 2023

Pretty much steady as she goes.  The latest run was using data up to October 18. Total deaths on February 1 are 1,389,053.  Subtracting the model total for October 27 of 1,353,396 gives 35,653 more deaths to go.  Again, I … Continue reading

Posted in BA.5 Variant, Coronavirus, COVID-19, Health Care, IHME Projections, Omicron Variant, Vaccine Distributions, Variants of Covid-19 | Leave a comment

My Midterm Election Opinions, Part II

Election Opinions, Part II As usual, I will try to back up my opinions on the midterm election with facts.  Those who wish to continue living in their fact-free universe should not read any further.   The increases in crime … Continue reading

Posted in 2022 Election, Congress, Constitution, Democracy, Economies, Fossil Fuel Energy, Freedoms, Gasoline, Governors and State Legislatures, Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Health Care, Inflation, Kavanaugh, Natural Gas, Oil, Politics, Supreme Court, US Oil | Leave a comment