Category Archives: IHME Projections

IHME Projections to February 1 for California, Texas, Florida, New York, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia

October 22nd IHME Projections for California, Texas, Florida,  New York, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Ohio, and North Carolina We cover the four largest states, which include two swing states, and then six other swing states. California IHME projections for total … Continue reading

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IHME Projects 62,000 Lives Savable by Masking by February 1

IHME Projects 62,000 Lives Savable by Masking by February 1. The October 22 IHME projections lower the February 1 death toll by 5,000, but decrease the lives savable by full masking by 11,000, compared to last week’s projection. The February … Continue reading

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Ratio of Excess Deaths to Confirmed Coronavirus Deaths by State

We use CDC data to early September as integrated by the New York Times in a September 23rd article.  The Excess Deaths are those in excess of those of the last few years, which count the full casualties of the … Continue reading

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IHME Projections Stay the Course

October 15 IHME Projections Stay the Course Global Global deaths are projected to February 1 as 2.419 million.  With 95% masking, this can be reduced to 1.800 million, saving 619,000 lives, about the same as last week.  Current deaths are … Continue reading

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IHME Projected Deaths for Leading Countries to February 1 and Savable Percent

We show for leading countries the Total Deaths to February 1, Savable Lives by 95% masking, Future Deaths to February 1, the Percent of those that are the Savable Lives, and the Percent of Present Masking.  The countries are ordered … Continue reading

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Projections of Lives Lost to the Coronavirus by World Regions

IHME Projections of World Regional Lives Lost to the Coronavirus by February 1, and Those Savable by Masking The IHME World projections start with seven world regions.  We will give the projected deaths from the Coronavirus by February 1, the … Continue reading

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Global IHME Projected Total and Daily Deaths and Infections to February 1

Global IHME Projected Total and Daily Deaths and Infections to February 1 The IHME University of Washington Medical School model has currently 1.108 million (m) Global deaths from the Coronavirus.  Their projection to February 1 is 2.488 m.  With 95% … Continue reading

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IHME Coronavirus Projections to February 1 for California, Texas, Florida, and New York

IHME Coronavirus Projections to Feb. 1 for California, Texas, Florida, and New York The populations of these four states sum to 110 million, about a third of the US populations.  These states also cover the two largest swing states, of … Continue reading

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IHME Projects Almost 400,000 US Deaths by February 1

IHME Projects Almost 400,000 US Deaths by February 1 The October 9 IHME U. Of Washington Coronavirus projections now extend another month to February 1.  Current US masking is now taken as 69%, following Facebook, a large jump from the … Continue reading

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Global Coronavirus Deaths Projected at 2.3 Million for January 1, are 1 Million Now

Global Deaths 2.3 Million for January 1, Daily Infections May Be 10 times those Confirmed A million confirmed deaths from the Coronavirus, and 600,000 lives could be saved by January 1, by 95% masking. Update: Oct. 5.  The W.H.O. Has … Continue reading

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