Category Archives: IHME Projections

May 13. Coronavirus IHME Update

We give the same table as two days ago but with the new updated projections.  Some states had significant increases.  The mobility or social distancing decreases have only changed slightly in two days. The U. Washington Institute for Health Metrics … Continue reading

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May 11. Coronavirus Projected Deaths and Social Distancing in the IHME Model

May 11.  Coronavirus Projected Deaths and Social Distancing in the IHME Model The U. Washington Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) has updated their data on cases and deaths, as well as social distancing policies, on May 10.  We … Continue reading

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May 4. The CDC Estimates Double the Death Rate by June 1.

May 4. The CDC Estimates Double the Death Rate by the End of the Month The President is backing the opening, and is now willing to sacrifice at least 30,000 more Americans to get it done.  The prediction of IHME … Continue reading

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April 30. Coronavirus State Openings and Sweden

April 30.  Coronavirus State Openings and Sweden By this weekend, 31 states will have controlled openings.  We will examine the wide range of projections for Sweden in the new IHME projections. There are now 30 million having filed for unemployment … Continue reading

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April 28. Sad Milestones, New Projections, and Testing and Tracing

April 28.  Lots of Sad Milestones, New Projections, and Testing and Tracing In the last few days, the World crossed the three million case number, being 3.11 million tonight.  The US crossed the one million case number, at 1.01 million … Continue reading

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April 24. We Learn More About the Coronavirus

Worldwide Coronavirus deaths is almost at 200,000.  The US has passed 50,000 deaths. The Vice President said that he had a list of 16 states that were starting to loosen restrictions.  I’m going to discuss five now, and along with … Continue reading

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April 23. Summertime Kills the Coronavirus

“It’s summertime, summertime, sum, sum, summertime” the Jamies. ”Summertime, and the living is easy”, Porgy and Bess, by George Gershwin. No less than the Department of Homeland Security has shown that the Coronavirus is destroyed by sunlight, with a two … Continue reading

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April 22. It’s All About Coronavirus Reopening

April 22.  It’s all about Coronavirus reopening. Using the IHME model, CNN has made a map of the reopening dates of the 50 states, which we show below.  The different color bins are for weeks of opening starting May 4-10 … Continue reading

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April 21. Update of IHME Projections for the US, New York, and California

April 21.  Update of IHME Projections for the US, NY, and California The IHME had another update of its projections today.  The projected US total until August went up a little to 66,000, with a range from 45,000 to 124,000 … Continue reading

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April 8. Coronavirus US Projected Deaths Drop by a Quarter

In todays IHME or University of Washington Coronavirus projections, the most probable total US deaths have dropped by 22,000, from 82,000 to 60,000.  This is a quarter.  The 95% of probability containing range is from (31,000 to 127,000), or approximately … Continue reading

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