Note: Italicized names indicate current or former students or post-docs

2024

Articles

Hart, E. R., Gennetian, L. A., Sperber, J. F., Penalva, R., Magnuson, K., Duncan, G. J., … & Noble, K. G. (2024). The effect of unconditional cash transfers on maternal assessments of children’s early language and socioemotional development: Experimental evidence from US families residing in poverty. Developmental Psychology. Paper

*Sauval, M., Duncan, G. J., Gennetian, L. A., Magnuson, K. A., Fox, N. A., Noble, K. G., & Yoshikawa, H. (2024). Unconditional cash transfers and maternal employment: Evidence from the Baby’s First Years study. Journal of Public Economics, 236, 105159. Paper

Burchinal, M., *Whitaker, A., Jenkins, J., Bailey, D., *Watts, T., Duncan, G., & Hart, E. (2024). Unsettled science on longer-run effects of early education. Science, 384(6695), 506-508. Paper

Egan‐Dailey, S., Gennetian, L. A., Magnuson, K., Duncan, G. J., Yoshikawa, H., Fox, N. A., & Noble, K. G. (2024). Child‐directed speech in a large sample of US mothers with low income. Child Development. Paper

Gennetian, L. A., Duncan, G. J., Fox, N. A., Halpern-Meekin, S., Magnuson, K., Noble, K. G., & Yoshikawa, H. (2024). Effects of a monthly unconditional cash transfer starting at birth on family investments among US families with low income. Nature Human Behaviour, 1-16. Paper

Sperber, J. F., Vandell, D. L., Duncan, G. J., & &Watts, T. W. (2024). Delay of gratification and adult outcomes: The Marshmallow Test does not reliably predict adult functioning. Child Development. Paper

2023

Articles

Troller-Renfree, S. V., Costanzo, M. A., Duncan, G. J., Magnuson, K., Gennetian, L. A., Yoshikawa, H., … & Noble, K. G. (2022). Reply to Assari and Lantz: Heterogeneity in BFY impacts. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 119(35), e2201864119.

Koepp, A. E., Watts, T. W., Gershoff, E. T., Ahmed, S. F., Davis-Kean, P., Duncan, G. J., … & Vandell, D. L. (2023). Attention and behavior problems in childhood predict adult financial status, health, and criminal activity: A conceptual replication and extension of Moffitt et al.(2011) using cohorts from the United States and the United Kingdom. Developmental Psychology. This article has been designated as an “Editor’s Choice selection.” Paper

 *Pages, R., Bailey, D. H., & Duncan, G. J. (2023). The impacts of Abecedarian and Head Start on educational attainment: Reasoning about unobserved mechanisms from temporal patterns of indirect effects. Early Childhood Research Quarterly, 65, 261-274.  Paper

Sperber, J. F., Gennetian, L. A., Hart, E. R., Kunin-Batson, A., Magnuson, K., Duncan, G. J., … & Noble, K. G. (2023). Unconditional Cash Transfers and Maternal Assessments of Children’s Health, Nutrition, and Sleep: A Randomized Clinical Trial. JAMA Network Open, 6(9), e2335237-e2335237. Paper

Jenkins, J. M., & Duncan, G. J. (2023). Skill building in early care and education programs. The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 706(1), 65-88. Paper

Whitaker, A. A., Yoo, P. Y., Vandell, D. L., Duncan, G. J., & Burchinal, M. (2023). Predicting adolescent and young adult outcomes from emotional support and cognitive stimulation offered by preschool-age home and early care and education settings. Developmental Psychology, 59(12), 2189-2203. doi:https://doi.org/10.1037/dev0001576

Book Chapters

Duncan, G.J., Kalil, A., Mogstad, M., and Rege, M. (2023). Investing in early childhood development in preschool and at home, in Hanushek, E. A., Woessmann, L., & Machin, S. J. (2023). Handbook of the Economics of Education. Elsevier.  NBER Working Paper

2022

Articles

Bruckner, T.A., Das, A., Duncan. G.J. (2022). Thanksgiving and Christmas gatherings before the 2020-21 winter surge of COVID-19 in the United States, Preventive Medicine Reports, doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pmedr.2022.101911.

 *Yoo, P. Y., Duncan, G. J., Magnuson, K., Fox, N. A., Yoshikawa, H., Halpern-Meekin, S., & Noble, K. G. (2022). Unconditional cash transfers and maternal substance use: findings from a randomized control trial of low-income mothers with infants in the US. BMC Public Health, 22(1), 1-11. Paper

Troller-Renfree, S. V., Costanzo, M. A., Duncan, G. J., Magnuson, K., Gennetian, L. A., Yoshikawa, H., … & Noble, K. G. (2022). The impact of a poverty reduction intervention on infant brain activity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 119(5). Paper 

See also: Troller-Renfree, S. V., Costanzo, M. A., Duncan, G. J., Magnuson, K., Gennetian, L. A., Yoshikawa, H., … & Noble, K. G. (2022). Reply to Assari and Lantz: Heterogeneity in BFY impacts. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 119(35), e2201864119.

 2021

Articles

Harding, D. J., Sanbonmatsu, L., Duncan, G. J., Gennetian, L. A., Katz, L. F., Kessler, R. C., … & Ludwig, J. (2021). Evaluating Contradictory Experimental and Nonexperimental Estimates of Neighborhood Effects on Economic Outcomes for Adults. Housing Policy Debate, 1-34.

Bailey, D. H., Duncan, G. J., Murnane, R. J., & Au Yeung, N. (2021). Achievement Gaps in the Wake of COVID-19. Educational Researcher, 0013189X211011237.

Noble, K. G., Magnuson, K., Gennetian, L. A., Duncan, G. J., Yoshikawa, H., Fox, N. A., & Halpern-Meekin, S. (2021). Baby’s First Years: Design of a Randomized Controlled Trial of Poverty Reduction in the United States. Pediatrics, 148(4).

Duncan, G. J. (2021). A roadmap to reducing child poverty. Academic Pediatrics, 21(8), S97-S101.

2020

Articles

Rojas, N. M., Yoshikawa, H., Gennetian, L., Lemus Rangel, M., Melvin, S., Noble, K., Duncan, G. & Magunson, K. (2020). Exploring the experiences and dynamics of an unconditional cash transfer for low-income mothers: A mixed-methods study. Journal of Children and Poverty, 26(1), 64-84.

Duncan, R. J., Duncan, G. J., Stanley, L., Aguilar, E., & Halfon, N. (2020). The kindergarten Early Development Instrument predicts third grade academic proficiency. Early Childhood Research Quarterly, 53, 287-300.

Duncan, G. J., Smeeding, T., & Le Menestrel, S. (2020). Poverty, work, and welfare: Cutting the Gordian knot. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.2011551117

Bailey, D. H., Duncan, G. J., Cunha, F., Foorman, B. R., & Yeager, D. S. (2020). Persistence and fade-out of educational-intervention effects: Mechanisms and potential solutions. Psychological Science in the Public Interest, 21(2), 55-97.

Pages, R., Lukes, D. J., Bailey, D. H., & Duncan, G. J. (2020). Elusive longer-run impacts of head start: replications within and across cohorts. Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis, 0162373720948884.

Perrin, J. M., Duncan, G., Diaz, A., & Kelleher, K. (2020). Principles And Policies To Strengthen Child And Adolescent Health And Well-Being: Study describes National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine reports on poverty, mental, emotional, and behavioral health, adolescence, and young family health and education. Health Affairs, 39(10), 1677-1683.

2019

Articles

Joo, Y. S., Magnuson, K., Duncan, G. J., Schindler, H. S., Yoshikawa, H., & Ziol-Guest, K. M. (2020). What Works in Early Childhood Education Programs?: A Meta–Analysis of Preschool Enhancement Programs. Early Education and Development.

Duncan, G., Magnuson, K., Murnane, R., & Votruba‐Drzal, E. (2019). Income Inequality and the Well‐Being of American Families. Family Relations, 68(3), 313-325.

Weis, L., Eisenhart, M., Duncan, G., Albro, E., Conklin Bueschel, A., Eccles, J., … & Cobb, P. (2019). Mixed methods for studies that address broad and enduring issues in education research. Teachers College Record, 121(10), 1-16.

Eisenhart, M., Weisner, T., Cobb, P., Duncan, G., Albro, E., Mendenhall, R., … & Weis, L. (2019). Exemplary Mixed-Methods Research Studies Compiled by the Mixed Methods Working Group. Teachers College Record, 121(10), 1-34.

Nguyen, T., & Duncan, G. J. (2019). Kindergarten components of executive function and third grade achievement: A national study. Early Childhood Research Quarterly, 46, 49-61.

Fuller, B., Kim, Y., Galindo, C., Bathia, S., Bridges, M., Duncan, G. J., & García Valdivia, I. (2019). Worsening School Segregation for Latino Children? Educational Researcher, 0013189X19860814.

Chapters

Nguyen, T., Duncan, G. J. & Jenkins, J. M. (2019). Boosting School Readiness with Preschool Curricula. Sustaining Early Childhood Learning Gains: Program, School, and Family Influences, Arthur Reynolds and Judy Temple (eds.), Cambridge University press. doi.org/10.1017/9781108349352

2018
Articles

Duncan, G. J., Lee, K. T. H., Rosales-Rueda, M., & Kalil, A. (2018). Maternal age and child development. Demography, 1-27. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-018-0730-3

Duncan, G. J., Kalil, A., & Ziol-Guest, K. (2018). Parental income and children’s life course: Lessons from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics. The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 680(1), 82-96. https://doi.org/10.1177/0002716218801534

Nguyen, T., & Duncan, G. J. (2018). Kindergarten components of executive function and third grade achievement: A national study. Early Childhood Research Quarterly, 46, 49-61. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecresq.2018.05.006

Watts, T., Duncan, G., Clements, D. H., & Sarama, J. (2018). What is the long‐run impact of learning mathematics during preschool? Child Development, 89, 539-555. https://doi.org/10.1111/cdev.12713

Kang, C., Duncan, G. J., Clements, D., Sarama, J, & Bailey, D. H. (2018). The roles of transfer of learning and forgetting in the persistence and fadeout of early childhood mathematics interventions. Journal of Educational Psychology. DOI: 10.1037/edu0000297

Bailey, D. H., Duncan, G. J., Watts, T., Clements, D., & Sarama, J. (2018). Risky business: Correlation and causation in longitudinal studies of skill development. American Psychologist, 73, 81-94.

Watts, T., Duncan, G., & Quan, H. (2018). Revisiting the marshmallow test: A conceptual replication investigating links between early gratification delay and later outcomes. Psychological Science. DOI: 10.1177/0956797618761661

Jenkins, J. M., Duncan, G. J., Auger, A., Bitler, M., & Domina, T. (2018). Boosting school readiness: Should preschool teachers target skills or the whole child? Economics of Education Review, 65, 107-125. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econedurev.2018.05.001

Shaefer, H. L., Collyer, S., Duncan, G., Edin, K., Garfinkel, I., Harris, D., Smeeding, T. M., Waldfogel, J., Wimer, C., & Yoshikawa, H. (2018). A Universal Child Allowance: A Plan to Reduce Poverty and Income Instability Among Children in the United States. Russell Sage Foundation Journal of the Social Sciences, 4(2), 22-42.

Jenkins, J. M., Watts, T. W., Magnuson, K., Gershoff, E. T., Clements, D. H., Sarama, J., & Duncan, G. J. (2018). Do High-Quality Kindergarten and First-Grade Classrooms Mitigate Preschool Fadeout? Journal of Research on Educational Effectiveness, 11(3), 339-374. https://doi.org/10.1080/19345747.2018.1441347

Duncan, G.J., Magnuson, K. & Vortuba-Drzal, E. (2017). Moving beyond correlations in assessing the consequences of poverty. Annual Review of Psychology 68(1), 413-434. doi: 10.1146/annurev-psych-010416-044224.

Bailey, D., Duncan, G.J., Odgers, C. & Wu, W. (2017). Persistence and fadeout in the impacts of child and adolescent interventions. Journal of Research on Educational Effectiveness, 10(1):7–39. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/19345747.2016.1232459doi:10.1080/19345747.2016.1232459

Duncan, G.J., Kalil, A., Ziol-Guest, K. (2017). Increasing inequality in parent incomes and children’s schooling. Demography, 54(5), 1603-1626. DOI: 1603-162610.1007/s13524-017-0600-4.

Bowne, J. B., Magnuson, K. A., Schindler, H. S., Duncan, G. J., & Yoshikawa, H. (forthcoming, 2017). A Meta-Analysis of Class Sizes and Ratios in Early Childhood Education Programs: Are Thresholds of Quality Associated With Greater Impacts on Cognitive, Achievement, and Socioemotional Outcomes?  Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis, 0162373716689489.

McCoy, D. C., Yoshikawa, H., Ziol-Guest, K. M., Duncan, G.J., Schindler, H. S., Magnuson, K. A., Yang, R., Koepp, A. E., & Shonkoff, J. (2017).  Impacts of early childhood education on medium- and long-term educational outcomes.  Educational Researcher, 46(8), 474-487.

Au, J., Buschkuehl, M., Duncan, G. J., & Jaeggi, S. M. (2016). There is no convincing evidence that working memory training is NOT effective: A reply to Melby-Lervåg and Hulme (2015). Psychonomic bulletin & review, 23(1), 331-337. doi:10.3758/s13423-015-0967-4

Jenkins, J. M., Farkas, G., Duncan, G. J., Burchinal, M., & Vandell, D. L. (2016). Head Start at Ages 3 and 4 Versus Head Start Followed by State Pre-K Which Is More Effective?. Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis, 38(1), 88-112. doi:10.3102/0162373715587965

Duncan, G.J. & Murnane, R. J. (2016) Rising inequality in family incomes and children’s educational outcomes, Russell Sage Journal of the Social Sciences, 2(2), 142–158. doi:10.7758/RSF.2016.2.2.06

Riley, A. W., & Duncan, G. J. (2016). Completing a National Birth Cohort in the United States. JAMA pediatrics, 170(9), 829-830. doi:10.1001/jamapediatrics.2016.1760

Magnuson, K. & Duncan, G.J.. (2016) Can early childhood interventions decrease inequality of economic opportunity?  The Russell Sage Foundation Journal of the Social Sciences, 2(2), 123–141. doi:10.7758/RSF.2016.2.2.05

Nguyen, T., Watts, T. W., Duncan, G. J., Clements, D. H., Sarama, J. S., Wolfe, C., & Spitler, M. E. (2016). Which preschool mathematics competencies are most predictive of fifth grade achievement?. Early childhood research quarterly, 36, 550-560. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecresq.2016.02.003

Garfield, C. F., Duncan, G., Peters, S., Rutsohn, J., McDade, T. W., Adam, E. K., Coley, R. L.,& Chase-Lansdale, P. L. (2016). Adolescent reproductive knowledge, attitudes, and beliefs and future fatherhood. Journal of Adolescent Health, 58(5), 497-503. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jadohealth.2015.12.010. 

Kessler, R. C., Duncan, G. J., Gennetian, L. A., Katz, L. F., Kling, J. R., Sampson, N. A., … & Ludwig, J. (2016). Notice of Retraction and Replacement: Kessler RC, et al. Associations of Housing Mobility Interventions for Children in High-Poverty Neighborhoods With Subsequent Mental Disorders During Adolescence. JAMA. 2014; 311 (9): 937-947. Jama, 316(2), 227-228. doi:10.1001/jama.2016.6187

Magnuson, K., Duncan, G.J., Lee, Kenneth T.H., & Metzger, M. (2016) Early Elementary School Adjustment and Educational Attainment, American Education Research Journal, 53(4),1198-1228. doi:10.3102/0002831216634658.

Grindal, T., Bowne, J. B., Yoshikawa, H., Schindler, H. S., Duncan, G. J., Magnuson, K., & Shonkoff, J. P. (2016). The added impact of parenting education in early childhood education programs: A meta-analysis. Children and Youth Services Review, 70, 238-249. dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.childyouth.2016.09.018 

Duncan, G.J., Magnuson, K. & Murnane, R.M. (2016). Reforming school and preschools, Academic Pediatrics, 16:S121–S127.  http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.acap.2015.12.003

Magnuson, K. A., Kelchen, R., Duncan, G. J., Schinder, H. S., Shager, H. & Yoshikawa, H. (2016). Do the effects of early childhood education programs differ by gender? A meta-analysis. Early Childhood Research Quarterly, 36, 521-526. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecresq.2015.12.021

Miller, E. J., Duncan, G. J., & Farkas, G. (2016). Does Head Start Differentially Benefit Children With Risks Targeted by the Program’s Service Model? Early Childhood Research Quarterly, 34, 1-12. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecresq.2015.08.001

2016 Chapters

Kalil, A., Duncan, G., & Ziol-Guest, K. (2016). Early childhood poverty: Short and long-run consequences over the lifespan. In Shanahan, M., Mortimer, J., & Kirkpatrick Johnson, M. (Eds.).Handbook of the Lifecourse, Vol II (pp. 341-354). Switzerland: Springer International Publishing. DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-20880-0.

Huston, A. C., Duncan, G. J., & Yoshikawa, H. (2016). Mixed Methods in the Science of Understanding Antipoverty Policies for Families with Children: Four Case Studies. Methods That Matter: Integrating Mixed Methods for More Effective Social Science Research, 329.

Watts, T. W., Duncan, G. J., Chen, M., Claessens, A., Davis-Kean, P. E., Duckworth, K., Engel, M., Siegler, R. & Susperreguy, M. (2015). The Role of Mediators in the Development of Longitudinal Mathematics Achievement Associations. Child Development. 86(6), 1892-1907. Website

Rickford, J., Duncan, G.J., Gennetian, L., Gou, R.Y., Greene, R., Katz, L.F., Kessler, R., Kling, J., Sanbonmatsu, L., Sanchez-Ordoñez, A., Sciandra, M., Thomas, E., Ludwig, J., (2015). Neighborhood effects on use of African-American Vernacular English, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 112(38), 11817-11822. Website

Schindler, H., Kholoptseva, J., Oh, S., Yoshikawa, H., Duncan, G. J., Magnuson, K., Shonkoff, J. (2015). Maximizing the potential of early childhood education to prevent externalizing behavior problems: A meta-analysis. Journal of School Psychology, 53(3), 243–263. Website. This article won the journal’s Article of the Year Award for 2015.

Guo, G., Li, Y., Wang, H., Cai, Tianji, & Duncan, G. J. (2015). Peer Influence, Genetic Propensity, and Binge Drinking: A Natural Experiment and a Replication, American Journal of Sociology, 121(3), 914-954. Website

Au, J., Buschkuehl, M., Duncan, G. J., & Jaeggi, S. M. (2015). There is no convincing evidence that working memory training is NOT effective: A reply to Melby-Lervag and Hulme. Psychon Bull Rev. 22(2), 366-377. Website

Ziol-Guest, K., Duncan, G. J., Kalil, A. (2015). One-parent students leave school earlier: Educational attainment gap widens. Education Next, 15(2), 36–41. 1539-9672. Website

Ruzek, E. A., Domina, T., Conley, A., Duncan, G. J., Karabenick, S. (2015). Using Value-Added Models to Measure Teacher Effects on Students’ Motivation and Achievement. Journal of Early Adolescence, 35(5-6), 852 –882. Website

Duncan, G.J. (2015). Toward an Empirically Robust Science of Human Development. Research in Human Development, 12(1), 255-60. Website

Guo, G., Li, Y., Owen, C., Wang, H., & Duncan, G.J. (2015). A Natural Experiment of Peer Influences on Youth Alcohol Use. Social Science Research, 52, 193-207. Website

Duncan, G.J., McCormick, M.C., & Citro, C.F. (2015). The Future of the National Children’s Study. Journal of the American Medical Association: Pediatrics, 169(6), 517-518. Website

2015 Chapters

Duncan, G., Magnuson, K. and Votruba-Drzal, E. “Children and Socioeconomic Status” in Marc H. Bornstein and Tama Leventhal (eds.) Handbook of Child Psychology and Developmental Science, Volume 4: Ecological Settings and Processes in Developmental Systems, New York: Wiley, 2015, pp. 534-573.

Auger, A., Farkas, G., Burchinal, M. R., Duncan, G. J., & Vandell, D. L. (2014). Preschool center care quality effects on academic achievement: An instrumental variables analysis. Developmental Psychology, 50(12), 2559. pdf

Watts, T. W., Duncan, G. J., Siegler, R. S., & Davis-Kean, P. E. (2014). What’s Past Is Prologue Relations Between Early Mathematics Knowledge and High School Achievement. Educational Researcher, 43(7), 352-360. pdf

Au, J., Sheehan, E., Tsai, N., Duncan, G. J., Buschkuehl, M., & Jaeggi, S. M. (2014). Improving fluid intelligence with training on working memory: a meta-analysis. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 1-12. Website

McCormick, M. C., Baker, D. B., Biemer, P. P., Carlson, B. L., Diez Roux, A. V., Lesser, V. M., … & Duncan, G. J. (2014). The National Children’s Study 2014: Commentary on a Recent National Research Council/Institute of Medicine Report. Academic Pediatrics, 14(6), 545-546. pdf

Rutherford, T., Farkas, G., Duncan, G.J., Burchinal, M., Kibrick, M., Graham, J., … & Martinez, M. E. (2014). A Randomized Trial of an Elementary School Mathematics Software Intervention: Spatial-Temporal Math. Journal of Research on Educational Effectiveness, 7(4), 358-383. Website

Duncan, G. J., Engel, M., Claessens, A., & Dowsett, C. J. (2014). Replication and robustness in developmental research. Developmental Psychology, 50(11), 2417. Abstract

Miller, E. B., Farkas, G., Vandell, D. L., & Duncan, G. J. (2014). Do the effects of Head Start vary by parental preacademic stimulation? Child Development, 85(4), 1385-1400. Website

Duncan, G. J., Magnuson, K., & Votruba-Drzal, E. (2014). Boosting family income to promote child development. The Future of Children, 99-120. pdf

McDade, T. W., Metzger, M. W., Chyu, L., Duncan, G. J., Garfield, C., & Adam, E. K. (2014). Long-term effects of birth weight and breastfeeding duration on inflammation in early adulthood. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 281(1784), 20133116. pdf

Garfield, C. F., Duncan, G.J., Rutsohn, J., McDade, T. W., Adam, E. K., Coley, R. L., & Chase-Lansdale, P. L. (2014). A longitudinal study of paternal mental health during transition to fatherhood as young adults. Pediatrics, 133(5), 836-843. pdf

Kessler, R. C., Duncan, G. J., Gennetian, L. A., Katz, L. F., Kling, J. R., Sampson, N. A., … & Ludwig, J. (2014). Associations of housing mobility interventions for children in high-poverty neighborhoods with subsequent mental disorders during adolescence. Journal of the American Medical Association, 311(9), 937-947. See 2016 listing of Kessler for retraction and replacement.

Ruzek, E., Burchinal, M., Farkas, G., Duncan, G. J. (2014). The Quality of Toddler Child Care and Cognitive Skills at 24 Months: Propensity Score Analysis Results from the ECLS-B. Early Childhood Research Quarterly 29(1), 12-21. Website

2014 Chapters

Duncan, G. and Murnane, R. “Rising Inequality and the School Performance of Low and High-Income Children” (with Richard J. Murnane) in Kathleen McCartney, Hirokazu Yoshikawa and Laurie Forcier (eds.) Framing the Future for America’s Children: In honor of 40 years of the Children’s Defense Fund, Cambridge: Harvard Education Press, 2014, pp. 121-132.

Duncan, G., Dowsett, C. and Lawrence, J. “Early Math and Literacy Skills: Key Predictors of Later School Success” in Susan H. Landry and Cary L. Cooper (eds.) Wellbeing in Children and Families: Wellbeing: A Complete Reference Guide, Volume 1, New York: Wiley-Blackwell, 2014, pp. 55-72.

Sciandra, M., Sanbonmatsu, L., Duncan, G. J., Gennetian, L. A., Katz, L. F., Kessler, R. C., … & Ludwig, J. (2013). Long-term effects of the Moving to Opportunity residential mobility experiment on crime and delinquency. Journal of Experimental Criminology, 9(4), 451-489. pdf

Duncan, G., & Sojourner, A. (2013). Can intensive early childhood intervention programs eliminate income-based cognitive and achievement gaps? Journal of Human Resources. pdf

Keys, T. D., Farkas, G., Burchinal, M. R., Duncan, G. J., Vandell, D. L., Li, W., … & Howes, C. (2013). Preschool Center Quality and School Readiness: Quality Effects and Variation by Demographic and Child Characteristics. Child development. Website

Li, W., Farkas, G., Duncan, G. J., Burchinal, M. R., & Vandell, D. L. (2013). Timing of High-Quality Child Care and Cognitive, Language, and Preacademic Development. pdf

Sciandra, M., Sanbonmatsu, L., Duncan, G. J., Gennetian, L. A., Katz, L. F., Kessler, R. C., Kling, J. R., Ludwig, J. (2013). Long-Term Effects of the Moving to Opportunity Residential-Mobility Experiment on Crime and Delinquency. Journal of Experimental Criminology 9(4), 451-489.

Ludwig, J., Duncan, G. J., Gennetian, L. A., Katz, L. F., Kessler, R. C., Kling, J. R., & Sanbonmatsu, L. (2013). Long-Term Neighborhood Effects on Low-Income Families: Evidence from Moving to Opportunity (No. w18772). National Bureau of Economic Research.  AEA P&P Web Link AEA P&P Main Paper Appendix NBER Working Paper Version

Duncan, G. J., & Magnuson, K. (2013). Investing in Preschool Programs. The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 27(2), 109-132. Article Appendix

Shager H., Schindler H. S., Magnuson K. A., Duncan G. J., Yoshikawa H., Hart C. M. D. (2013) Can Research Design Explain Variation in Head Start Research Results? A Meta-analysis of Cognitive and Achievement Outcomes. Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis, 35(2), 76 – 95. Website

2013 Chapters

Duncan, G. and Magnuson, K. “The Long Reach of Early Childhood Poverty” (with Katherine Magnuson), in Wei-Jun Jean Yeung and Yap Mui-Teng (Eds.) Economic Stress, Human Capital, and Families in Asia: Research and Policy Challenges, Amsterdam: Springer, 2013, pp. 57-70. Website

Duncan, G. “Methods in Multi-site Trials of Family-based Interventions” In S. M. McHale et al. (eds.), Emerging Methods in Family Research, Amsterdam: Springer, 2013. pp. 245-260. Website

Ziol-Guest, K. M., Duncan, G. J., Kalil, A., & Boyce, W. T. (2012). Early childhood poverty, immune-mediated disease processes, and adult productivity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 109(Supplement 2), 17289-17293. Journal Website

Ludwig, J., Duncan, G. J., Gennetian, L. A., Katz, L. F., Kessler, R. C., Kling, J. R., & Sanbonmatsu, L. (2012). Neighborhood effects on the long-term well-being of low-income adults. Science, 337(6101), 1505-1510. Journal Website Supplemental Materials

Siegler, R. S., Duncan, G. J., Davis-Kean, P. E., Duckworth, K., Claessens, A., Engel, M., … & Chen, M. (2012). Early predictors of high school mathematics achievement. Psychological science, 23(7), 691-697. pdf

Duncan, G. J., Magnuson, K., Kalil, A., & Ziol-Guest, K. (2012). The Importance of Early Childhood Poverty. Social indicators research, 108(1), 87-98. Website

Reich, S. M., Penner, E. K., Duncan, G. J., & Auger, A. (2012). Using baby books to change new mothers’ attitudes about corporal punishment. Child abuse & neglect, 36(2), 108-117. Abstract

Duncan, G. J., & Magnuson, K. (2012). Socioeconomic status and cognitive functioning: moving from correlation to causation. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Cognitive Science, 3(3), 377-386. Journal Website

Duncan, G. J. (2012). Give Us This Day Our Daily Breadth. Child development, 83(1), 6-15. pdf

Keys, T. D., Conley, A. M., Duncan, G. J., & Domina, T. (2012). The role of goal orientations for adolescent mathematics achievement. Contemporary Educational Psychology, 37(1), 47-54. Journal Website

Snell, E. K., Castells, N., Duncan, G., Gennetian, L., Magnuson, K., & Morris, P. (2012). Promoting the Positive Development of Boys in High‐Poverty Neighborhoods: Evidence From Four Anti‐Poverty Experiments. Journal of Research on Adolescence, 13, 357-374. Website

2012 Chapters

DeLuca, S., Duncan, G., Keels, M., and Mendenhall, R. “The Notable and the Null: Using Mixed Methods to Understand the Diverse Impacts of Residential Mobility Programs” in van Ham, Maarten, David Manley, Nick Bailey, Ludi Simpson, and Duncan Maclennan. Neighbourhood effects research: new perspectives. Springer Netherlands, 2012, pp. 195-223. Website

Duncan, G. J., Bergman, L., Duckworth, K., Kokko, K., Lyyra, A. L., Metzger, M., … & Simonton, S. (2012). The Role Of Child Skills And Behaviors In The Intergenerational Transmission Of Inequality: A Cross-National Study. In John Ermisch, Markus Jantti and Timothy Smeeding (eds).  From Parents To Children: The Intergenerational Transmission Of Advantage, New York: Russell Sage Foundation, pp. 207-234. Website

Duncan, G. J., Morris, P. A., & Rodrigues, C. (2011). Does money really matter? Estimating impacts of family income on young children’s achievement with data from random-assignment experiments. Developmental psychology,47(5), 1263-1279. Abstract

Ludwig, J., Sanbonmatsu, L., Gennetian, L., Adam, E., Duncan, G. J., Katz, L. F., … & McDade, T. W. (2011). Neighborhoods, obesity, and diabetes—a randomized social experiment. New England Journal of Medicine, 365(16), 1509-1519.. Journal Website

McDade, T. W., Chyu, L., Duncan, G. J., Hoyt, L. T., Doane, L. D., & Adam, E. K. (2011). Adolescents’ expectations for the future predict health behaviors in early adulthood. Social Science & Medicine, 73(3), 391-398. Journal Website

Reich, S. M., Penner, E. K., & Duncan, G. J. (2011). Using baby books to increase new mothers’ safety practices. Academic pediatrics, 11(1), 34-43. Abstract

Clampet-Lundquist, S., Edin, K., Kling, J. R., & Duncan, G. J. (2011). Moving Teenagers Out of High-Risk Neighborhoods: How Girls Fare Better than Boys. American Journal of Sociology, 116(4), 1154-89. Abstract

2011 Chapters

Duncan, G., Telle, K., Ziol-Guest, K. and Kalil, A. “Economic Deprivation in Early Childhood and Adult Outcomes: Comparative Evidence from Norwegian Registry Data and the U.S. PSID” (with Kjetil Telle, Kathleen M. Ziol-Guest and Ariel Kalil), in Timothy Smeeding, Robert Erikson and Markus Jantii (eds.), Persistence, Privilege, and Parenting: The Comparative Study of Intergenerational Mobility, New York: Russell Sage, 2011, pp. 209-234. pdf

Duncan, G. J. (2011) The Importance of Kindergarten-Entry Academic Skills in The Preschool Education Debates, Walter Gilliam, Steven Barnett and Edward Zigler (eds.). doc

Duncan G. J., & Murnane, R. (2011) Introduction in Greg J. Duncan and Richard J. Murnane (eds.), Whither Opportunity: Rising Inequality, Schools, and Children’s Life Chances, New York: Russell Sage, 2011, pp. 3-23.

Duncan, G. J., & Magnuson, K. A. (2011) The Nature and Impact of Early Achievement Skills, Attention Skills, and Behavior Problems  in Greg J. Duncan and Richard J. Murnane (eds.), Whither Opportunity: Rising Inequality, Schools, and Children’s Life Chances, New York: Russell Sage, 2011, pp. 47-69. pdf

Boyd, M. L., Edin, K., Clampet-Lundquist, S., & Duncan, G. J. (2010). The durability of gains from the Gautreaux Two residential mobility program: a qualitative analysis of who stays and who moves from low-poverty neighborhoods∗. Housing Policy Debate, 20(1), 119-146. pdf

Duncan, G. J., Ziol‐Guest, K. M., & Kalil, A. (2010). Early‐Childhood Poverty and Adult Attainment, Behavior, and Health. Child Development, 81(1), 306-325. Journal Website

DeLuca, S., Duncan, G. J., Keels, M., & Mendenhall, R. M. (2010). Gautreaux mothers and their children: An update. Housing Policy Debate, 20(1), 7-25. Abstract

2010 Chapters

Duncan, G. J., Ludwig, J & Magnuson, K. A. (2010) Child Development in Phillip Levine and David Zimmerman (eds.) Targeting Investments in Children: Fighting Poverty When Resources Are Limited, Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2010, pp. 27-58. pdf

Guo, G., Hardie, J. H., Owen, C., Daw, J. K., Fu, Y., Lee, H., … & Duncan, G. (2009). Dna Collection in a Randomized Social Science Study of College Peer Effects. Sociological Methodology, 39(1), 1-29. Journal Website

Duncan, G. J., Bos, H., Gennetian, L. A., & Hill, H. (2009). New Hope: A Thoughtful and Effective Approach to “Make Work Pay”. Northwestern journal of law and social policy, 4(1), 101. pdf

Claessens, A., Duncan, G., & Engel, M. (2009). Kindergarten skills and fifth-grade achievement: Evidence from the ECLS-K. Economics of Education Review, 28(4), 415-427. Journal Website

Ziol-Guest, K. M., Duncan, G. J., & Kalil, A. (2009). Early childhood poverty and adult body mass index. Journal Information, 99(3). Abstract

2009 Chapters

Duncan, G. J., Morris, P., Gennetian, L. A., & Huston, A. (2009) How Welfare Policies Affect Child and Adolescent School Performance: Investigating Pathways of Influence with Experimental Data in Welfare Reform and its Long-Term Consequences for America’s Poor, James P. Ziliak (ed.), Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2009, pp. 255-289. doc

Duncan, G. J. (2008). When to promote, and when to avoid, a population perspective. Demography, 45(4), 763. pdf

Ludwig, J., Liebman, J. B., Kling, J. R., Duncan, G. J., Katz, L. F., Kessler, R. C., & Sanbonmatsu, L. (2008). What Can We Learn about Neighborhood Effects from the Moving to Opportunity Experiment? 1. American Journal of Sociology, 114(1), 144-188. pdf

Holzer, H. J., Whitmore Schanzenbach, D., Duncan, G. J., & Ludwig, J. (2008). The economic costs of childhood poverty in the United States. Journal of Children and Poverty, 14(1), 41-61. pdf

Duncan, G. J. (2008). What to Make of “Unexpected” Pathways?. Journal of Social Issues, 64(1), 213-218. Journal Website

Duncan, G. J., Dowsett, C. J., Claessens, A., Magnuson, K., Huston, A. C., Klebanov, P., … & Japel, C. (2007). School readiness and later achievement.Developmental psychology, 43(6), 1428-1446. Abstract

Duncan, G. J., Ludwig, J., & Magnuson, K. A. (2007). Reducing poverty through preschool interventions. The Future of Children, 17(2), 143-160. pdf

Duncan, G. J., & Magnuson, K. (2007). Penny wise and effect size foolish.Child Development Perspectives, 1(1), 46-51. Journal Website

Snell, E. K., Adam, E. K., & Duncan, G. J. (2007). Sleep and the body mass index and overweight status of children and adolescents. Child development,78(1), 309-323.. pdf

Duncan, G. J., Wilkerson, B., & England, P. (2006). Cleaning up their act: the effects of marriage and cohabitation on licit and illicit drug use. Demography,43(4), 691-710. Abstract

Duncan, G. J., & Zuberi, A. (2006). Mobility lessons from Gautreaux and moving to opportunity. Nw. JL & Soc. Pol’y, 1, 110. pdf

Duncan, G. J., & Magnuson, K. A. (2005). Can family socioeconomic resources account for racial and ethnic test score gaps?. The future of children, 15(1), 35-54. pdf

Snell, E. K., & Duncan, G. J. (2006). Child characteristics and successful use of housing vouchers: Estimates from the moving to opportunity demonstration.Housing Policy Debate, 17(4), 727-754. pdf

Sanbonmatsu, L., Kling, J. R., Duncan, G. J., & Brooks-Gunn, J. (2006). Neighborhoods and academic achievement results from the Moving to Opportunity experiment. Journal of Human Resources, 41(4), 649-691. Abstract

Mendenhall, R., DeLuca, S., & Duncan, G. (2006). Neighborhood resources, racial segregation, and economic mobility: Results from the Gautreaux program. Social Science Research, 35(4), 892-923. Journal Website

Duncan, G. J., & Gibson-Davis, C. M. (2006). Connecting Child Care Quality to Child Outcomes Drawing Policy Lessons from Nonexperimental Data. Evaluation Review, 30(5), 611-630. Abstract

2006 Chapters

Magnuson, K., Duncan, G., & Kalil, A. (2006). The Contribution of Middle Childhood Contexts to Adolescent Achievement and Behavior in Aletha C. Huston and Marika H. Ripke (Eds.) Developmental Context of Middle Childhood: Bridges to Adolescence and Adulthood. Cambridge University Press, 150-172.

Duncan, G. J., & Ludwig, J. (2006) Promising Solutions in Housing and the Community in Kenneth Dodge and Thomas Dishion (eds.) Deviant Peer Influences in Programs for Youth: Problems and Solutions, Guilford Press, pp. 312-327.

Duncan, G. J. (2006) Income and Child Well-Being. Geary Lecture, Dublin, Ireland: The Economic and Social Research Institute. pdf

Boisjoly, J., Duncan, G. J., Kremer, M., Levy, D. M., & Eccles, J. (2006). Empathy or antipathy? The impact of diversity. The American economic review, 96(5), 1890-1905. pdf

Huston, A. C., Duncan, G. J., McLoyd, V. C., Crosby, D. A., Ripke, M. N., Weisner, T. S., & Eldred, C. A. (2005). Impacts on children of a policy to promote employment and reduce poverty for low-income parents: New Hope after 5 years. Developmental Psychology, 41(6), 902. Abstract

Pashup, J., Edin, K., Duncan, G. J., & Burke, K. (2005). Participation in a residential mobility program from the client’s perspective: Findings from Gautreaux Two. Housing Policy Debate, 16(3-4), 361-392. Journal Website

Gardes, F., Duncan, G. J., Gaubert, P., Gurgand, M., & Starzec, C. (2005). Panel and pseudo-panel estimation of cross-sectional and time series elasticities of food consumption: the case of US and polish data. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 23(2), 242-253. pdf

Gibson‐Davis, C. M., Magnuson, K., Gennetian, L. A., & Duncan, G. J. (2005). Employment and the Risk of Domestic Abuse Among Low‐Income Women.Journal of Marriage and Family, 67(5), 1149-1168. Journal Website

Morris P. A., Gennetian L. A., Duncan G. J. (2005) Effects of Welfare and Employment Policies on Young Children: New Findings on Policy Experiments Conducted in the Early 1990s. Social Policy Report, 19(2) 3-17. pdf

Duncan, G. J., & Magnuson, K. A. (2005). Can family socioeconomic resources account for racial and ethnic test score gaps?. The future of children, 15(1), 35-54. pdf

Duncan, G. J., Boisjoly, J., Kremer, M., Levy, D. M., & Eccles, J. (2005). Peer effects in drug use and sex among college students. Journal of Abnormal Child Psychology, 33(3), 375-385. pdf

Keels, M., Duncan, G. J., DeLuca, S., Mendenhall, R., & Rosenbaum, J. (2005). Fifteen years later: Can residential mobility programs provide a long-term escape from neighborhood segregation, crime, and poverty. Demography, 42(1), 51-73. pdf

Ludwig, J., Duncan, G. J., & Pinkston, J. C. (2005). Housing mobility programs and economic self-sufficiency: Evidence from a randomized experiment. Journal of Public Economics, 89(1), 131-156. Journal Website

Gennetian, L. A., Duncan, G., Knox, V., Vargas, W., Clark‐Kauffman, E., & London, A. S. (2004). How welfare policies affect adolescents’ school outcomes: A synthesis of evidence from experimental studies. Journal of Research on Adolescence, 14(4), 399-423. Journal Website

2005 Chapters

Duncan, G., Kalil, A., Mayer, S. E., Tepper, R., & Payne, M. R. (2005). The Apple Does Not Fall Far From the Tree in Bowles, S., Gintis, H., & Groves, M. O. (Eds.) Unequal chances: Family background and economic success. Princeton University Press. 23-79. pdf