[Note: This post is co-authored with Eric-Jan Wagenmakers and was originally published on The Winnower.] Many scientific disciplines find themselves in the midst of a “crisis of confidence,” where key empirical findings turn out to reproduce at an alarmingly low rate [e.g., 1,2,3,4]. The causes for the crisis are multifaceted and there does not appear…Continue Reading C. S. Peirce on the Crisis of Confidence and the “No More Bets” Heuristic