IHME Projected Deaths Increase Again, 41,000 Savable by Masking

The new July 14 IHME projected deaths by November 1 have now increased by 16,000, to 224,000.   With Universal Mask wearing, the new deaths can be reduced by 41,000, To 183,000 by November 1.  Present US deaths are at 137,000.  So by Nov. 1 there will by 87,000 new deaths.  Those can be reduced to 46,000, which is 53% or almost down to half of the projected deaths.  Universal masking means 95% masking, matching the best Asian countries.  The 95% probability range of the death projections is vast, from 201,000 to 299,000.  The IHME is the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington.  It is founded by the State of Washington and the Gates Foundation.

There are now 3.5 million US Coronavirus cases, and 51 million out of work.

We give tables of death projections for Countries and States where the projected deaths grow by a large factor, and/or there is a large fraction of new deaths which can be saved by masking.

World Countries

In Iran, Russia, Pakistan, and Israel, the deaths by Nov. 1 can almost be cut in half by universal mask wearing.  In the US, additional deaths from now can be cut in half by universal mask wearing.

United States

California projected deaths have jumped about 4,400 in the last week.  Texas projected deaths have jumped by 5,200.  Florida projected deaths have only increased by about 1,200.  About 26,000 of the 41,000 or 63% of the lives to be saved by masking are in the 10 states in the table.