Reduction in the Rates of New Cancers and Cancer Deaths in the US and in California, Texas, Florida, and New York

New data on Rates of New Cancers and Cancer Deaths in the US from the CDC, which are adjusted for age distribution, show systematic reductions in both over the last 23 years.  We first show this in data maps for all the states in the US, and then in a table for the US and the four most populous  states, California, Texas, Florida, and New York, which include about a third of the US population.  The Rates are per 100,000.

Nationwide Rates of New Cancers in 1999

We note that the intervals for the four shaded groups is far from uniform, being roughly 150, 25, 17, and 60, from light to dark.

Nationwide New Cancers in 2021

Nationwide Rates of Cancer Deaths in 1999

We note that the range for the various shadings is roughly 55, 17, 18, and 50.

Nationwide Rates of Cancer Deaths in 2022

Table of Rates of US and Most Populous States’ New Cancers and Cancer Deaths from 1999 to 2021

State Data 1999 2021 2022 Ratio
US New Cancers 480.9 439.1 91.3%
Cancer Deaths 200.7 144.2 142.0 71.8%
Ratio 41.7% 32.8% 32.3%
California New Cancers 466.5 396.9 85.1%
Cancer Deaths 185.1 130.3 129.8 70.4%
Ratio 39.7% 32.8%
Texas New Cancers 469.1 419.5 89.4%
Cancer Deaths 196.6 141.7 141.0 72.1%
Ratio 41.9% 33.8%
Florida New Cancers 512.1 465.2 90.8%
Cancer Deaths 189.9 138.4 135.0 72.9%
Ratio 37.1% 29.8%
New York New Cancers 495.0 470.6 95.1%
Cancer Deaths 196.4 124.1 122.1 63.2%
Ratio 39.7% 26.4%

So the US has reduced the rate at which people get cancers by 9% in the last 22 years.  Among the four largest states, this ranges from a 15% reduction in California, to 5% reduction in New York, with Texas at 11% and Florida at 9%.

For the US, the percent who die of cancer has dropped from 42% to 33%, or by a ratio of 78.7%, or by 21.3%.  The US ratio of dying after having a cancer in 2021 is 33%, running from 26% in New York to 34% in Texas, with Florida at 30% and California at 33%, among the four largest states.

About Dennis SILVERMAN

I am a retired Professor of Physics and Astronomy at U C Irvine. For two decades I have been active in learning about energy and the environment, and in reporting on those topics for a decade. For the last four years I have added science policy. Lately, I have been reporting on the Covid-19 pandemic of our times.
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