Category Archives: COVID-19

IHME May 6 Run of Covid Projections for the US, China, India, and Global

IHME May 6 Run of Covid Projections for the US, China, India, and Global We take the IHME Total Death projections for September 1, 2022, and compare it to the projected Reported Deaths for the World and leading population countries. … Continue reading

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Coronavirus Death and Infection Rates in WHO European Region Countries

Coronavirus Death and Infection Rates in WHO European Region Countries in the IHME Model Run of April 7.  This region has 53 countries, including Russia, and a population of about 900 million. As of August 1, the projection is 3.620 … Continue reading

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Total and Reported Covid Deaths and Infected Per Population for American States

Total and Reported Covid Deaths and Infected Per Population for American States in the IHME model run for April 7, 2022. The Total Covid Deaths per 100,000 population are shown in Figure 5.2 of the USA report of the IHME, … Continue reading

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Total Covid Deaths and Percent Reported for the Most Populous Countries

Total Covid Deaths and Percent Reported for the Most Populous Countries The WHO is working on a report on Covid Total Deaths in countries in contrast to the Reported Deaths in many countries.  It is based on the IHME report, … Continue reading

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World Projections of Total Pandemic Deaths Versus Reported Deaths

World Projections of Total Pandemic Deaths Versus Reported Deaths The NY Times reports that the World Health Organization was ready to report the Total Deaths from the Covid pandemic, but was held up by India.  The Times also said that … Continue reading

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April IHME Shows China Covid Projected Deaths Reduced to 28% of Previous One

April IHME Shows China Covid Projected Deaths Reduced to 28% of the March Projection Total Deaths The March IHME Covid projection for China showed 615,000 deaths to July 1, but did not include any reduction in mobility.  This was contrary … Continue reading

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The IHME Forecasts 615,000 Covid Deaths in China by July 1

IHME Forecasts 615,000 Covid Deaths in China by July 1 The new March 21 IHME projection has increased the death toll from Covid for China and pushed it two and a half months further into the future than the run … Continue reading

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Global Projections for the Covid Pandemic from the IHME

Global Projections for the Covid Pandemic from the IHME The IHME scooped this subject by their paper in the March 10, 2022 Lancet by Director Christopher J.L. Murray, Haidong Wang, and Katherine Paulsen, which analyzes Excess Deaths over normal which … Continue reading

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IHME California Covid Projections Continue Rapid Die-off of Omicron

IHME California Covid Projections Continue Rapid Die-off of Omicron First of all, the Total Deaths modeled in the IHME are about 20% greater than the Recorded Deaths.  The IHME projections for Total Deaths in California by June 1 are 105,069, … Continue reading

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IHME Projects Sharp Rise in Covid Cases in China

IHME Projects Sharp Rise in Covid Cases in China Update, March 15:  China is just starting to see increased cases, so the projections here may actually be more accurate if shifted to later dates.  However, we now note that in … Continue reading

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