The Republican Winner-Take-District and Winner-Take-All States Left
I had originally listed the nine winner-take-all (WTA) remaining states in the Republican primary list. They have 534 or half of the remaining available 1,061 delegates. Since studying the Missouri and California primaries, I’ve that four of the remaining nine do not give their district votes to the statewide pool to make them total winner-take-all. The 3 delegates for each district are all awarded to the winner of their districts in these four states. Each state also gets 3 Republican National Committee (RNC) delegates that are awarded to the state winner. Below are the four states and their delegate breakdown.
On April 5, Wisconsin has 42 delegates, with 18 at-large and RNC being WTA, and 24 delegates in 8 districts to be awarded as winner-take-district.
On April 26, Maryland has 38 delegates, with 14 at-large and RNC being WTA, and 24 delegates in 8 districts to be awarded as winner-take-district.
On April 26, Pennsylvania has 71 delegates, with 17 at-large and RNC being WTA, and 54 oddly being non-committed. This must be a pain for delegate quants and their candidates’ plans.
On June 7, California has 172 delegates, with 13 at-large and RNC being WTA, and 159 delegates in 53 districts being winner-take-district.
Even though a candidate wins the plurality in a state, they may have to split some votes with other winners of districts, or the non-committed delegates.
Let’s add the complete WTA states remaining for completeness.
March 22, Arizona, with 58 WTA delegates.
April 26, Delaware, with 16 WTA delegates.
May 3, Indiana, with 57 WTA delegates.
June 7, New Jersey, with 51 WTA delegates.
June 7, South Dakota, with 29 WTA delegates.
So the list of 534 WTA delegates has to be reduced by the 54 non-committed Pennsylvania delegates, to 480 WTA delegates.
I can see the advantage of non-committed delegates, since in the three months between a primary and the convention, some candidates may not longer be competitive, positions may be more clearly elaborated, and the competitiveness with the Democratic candidate may be evaluated.
