Sanders Wins Indiana, but Only Creeps Slightly Closer
Sen. Sanders has won Indiana, by a close margin of 52.5% to 47.5%. Indiana has 92 delegates, with 56 from 9 congressional districts, 18 at large, 9 pledged PLEO (party leaders and elected officials), and 9 Superdelegates.
Thegreenpapers.com has awarded 44 delegates to Sanders and 39 to Clinton. 7 Superdelegates have pledged to Clinton, and 2 are available.
Since Superdelegates were already counted in Clinton’s total, Sanders has so far crept up 5 pledged delegates on Clinton.
I’ll use CNN’s numbers for Clinton’s total of 2,217 delegates. 1,704 are pledged, and 513 are Superdelegates.
Sanders has 1,443 delegates. 1,402 are pledged, and 41 are Superdelegates.
The difference in pledged delegates are 302. The difference in total delegates is 774. The number needed to nominate is 2,383. So Clinton is very close, only short by 166.
The total number of delegates is 4,765. The count above, with 1 for O,Malley, is 3,661. Subtracting that from 4,765 gives 1,104 remaining. The 166 delegates needed by Clinton is only 15% of the remaining delegates. So Clinton is now effectively the Democratic nominee.
If Sanders keeps splitting the vote, Clinton may have to wait for the enormous June 7 delegate bonanza to clinch the nomination mathematically. California has 475 pledged delegates on that date. The delegates available between now and June 7 is 263. If Clinton only gets half of these, she would only have 132, not the 166 she needs. Some already opted Superdelegates have probably already be counted, out of the 263.
