Nov. 18, Dem Gil Cisneros Declared the Winner in CA 39 by the Associated Press
No new votecounting tonight, just the fourth Bluing of a Republican House seat into a Democratic one. Yes, Gil did win the lottery, and became a philanthropist. Instead of resting on his yachts, he chose the path of public service and won.
Hillary Clinton won seven California districts which had Republican representatives. These were all targeted by Democrats, and they have now won six of them. The outstanding one is led by Mr. Valadao.
With the current outlook, the 53 member California delegation to the House will be 45 Democrats and 8 Republicans. This term, it has been 39 Democrats and 14 Republicans.
The California Senate and Assembly both have Democratic 2/3 supermajorities now. They already had a supermajority in the Assembly, and held onto it. They regained their supermajority in the Senate.
The population of each of the 80 Assembly districts was 465,674 in 2011. The population of each of the 40 Senate districts was 931,349, within 1%, in 2011. The population of each of the 435 US House districts is 711,000 people.
The only US Senate contest left is the runoff in Mississippi on Nov. 27, where the Republican appointed Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith has and advantage over the Democrat Mike Espy. If that goes R, the Republicans will control the Senate 53-47, which means little chance of humanitarian votes by consciencious Republicans. It would take 4 cross-overs to defeat a VP tie break.
Only 6 districts are undecided in the House, and Republicans lean or are likely in 5 of them. Democrats have picked up 37 seats. Again, it is a California seat, CA 21st, to see if the Blue tide can flood the 2-point lead of Republican Rep. David Valadao over Dem TJ Cox.
The Florida Senate race and the Governor’s race were both won by Republicans now. But the race was very valuable, in that 1.4 to 1.6 million people there who have completed their felony sentences have won the right to vote, probably because of a very strong Democratic turnout. This could well end the very close races won by Republicans. This may also be why Trump has decided to combine with Democrats on prison reform, of not always choosing the maximum sentence, as he had been doing with Attorney General Jeff Sessions. The nearly tied ballots in Florida were about 4 million to 4 million votes.
