IHME Projections: 32,000 US Lives Savable by Complete Masking

The July 30th IHME projections for US deaths by Nov. 1 has increased by 11,000, from 220,000 last week to 231,000 now.  The US lives savable by Nov. 1 by universal mask wearing is now at 32,000, still about the same as the 34,000 that were savable last week.  Today’s US deaths are 152,000.  So of the new projected US deaths of 231,000 – 152,000 = 79,000, the 32,000 savable are 40.5%.

For World countries, we show current deaths, projected deaths by Nov. 1, and deaths with Universal Masking.  We show a subset of countries with Projections much larger than Present Deaths, or where masking can save many lives.

Country Present Deaths Projection With Masks
US 152,040 230,822 198,831
Brazil 91,263 181,899 157,432
Mexico 46,000 95,929 84,060
India 34,956 —- ——
Iran 16,569 57,694 29,949
Peru 18,816 39,973 39,530
Indonesia 5,058 31,648 19,387
Russia 13,778 28,901 17,977
Bangladesh 3,083 11,076 6,070
Pakistan 5,924 8,975 6,931
Israel 500 4,793 2,944

Total World deaths are 672,062.  The World has 17.3 million cases.  The leading countries are the US with 4.50 million, Brazil with 2.61 million, and India with 1.63 million cases.

We show the IHME projected deaths for US states which still have large projected increases, or in which a large number of lives can be saved by universal masking.

State Deaths Projection With Masks
TX 6,442 24,557 16,477
CA 9,026 16,515 14,040
FL 6,586 16,318 16,321
GA 3,671 10,278 6,164
AZ 3,626 7,946 6,616
LA 3,925 6,401 5,147
AL 1,565 3,881 2,819
SC 1,667 3,232 2,757
MS 1,611 3,402 2,356
CO 1,822 2,665 2,129
NV 801 2,684 1,545
MO 1,255 2,283 1,733
OK 536 1,484 888
AR 442 933 684

 

About Dennis SILVERMAN

I am a retired Professor of Physics and Astronomy at U C Irvine. For a decade I have been active in learning about energy and the environment, and in lecturing and attending classes at the Osher Lifelong Learning Institute (OLLI) at UC Irvine.
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