We look at the states with the highest projected death tolls by January 1, 2021 in the IHME Model. We order the list by projected deaths, down to states with 10,000.
The columns are the State, the Present deaths today, the Projected Deaths, the deaths with Masking of 95%, and the Lives Saved by such masking.
| State | Present Deaths | Projected Deaths | With Masking | Lives Saved |
| CA | 14,327 | 48,515 | 36,051 | 12,464 |
| NY | 33,023 | 45,664 | 36,811 | 8,853 |
| TX | 14,332 | 34,663 | 28,778 | 5,885 |
| FL | 12,600 | 26,556 | 22,681 | 3,875 |
| NJ | 16,027 | 21,487 | 18,655 | 2,832 |
| IL | 8,527 | 17,321 | 10,606 | 6,715 |
| PA | 7,829 | 16,414 | 10,476 | 5,938 |
| GA | 6,287 | 14,259 | 11,132 | 3,127 |
| MA | 9,196 | 14,156 | 11,512 | 2,644 |
| MI | 6,911 | 12,660 | 8,414 | 4,246 |
| OH | 4,411 | 11,572 | 6,114 | 5,458 |
| NC | 3,047 | 11,298 | 6,304 | 4,994 |
| VA | 2,722 | 11,270 | 8,921 | 2,349 |
| AZ | 5,315 | 10,164 | 7,429 | 2,735 |
The lives saved in the top 7 states in the table are 46,562, or 40% of the total of 116,501 from all states. The lives saved in all 14 states in the table are 72,115, or 62% of the total. The total of the four most populous states, the top 4 in the table, are 31,077, or 26.7% of the total.
