IHME Forecast of Rising Covid Deaths in South-East Asia

IHME Forecast of Rising Covid Deaths in South-East Asia

Although most of the world’s future Omicron deaths are projected in China, Indonesia will had a daily death rate about half of that last year.  Viet Nam and the Republic of Korea are having significant daily death rates around now.

We have a table of these four Nations, their Populations in Millions, the Date of their Peak and Rate of Total Daily Deaths then, and their Total Daily Death Rate on April 4, 2022.  Total Deaths are calculated in the model and are greater than the Reported Deaths.

Country Pop. Peak Deaths/day April 4
China 1,400 m June 20 17,600 31
Indonesia 274 m March 12 1,300 300
Rep. Of Korea 52 m March 28 769 520
Viet Nam 97 m April 3 657 655

Last year, around June, Indonesia had a peak of about 8,000 total deaths per day from Covid.

About Dennis SILVERMAN

I am a retired Professor of Physics and Astronomy at U C Irvine. For two decades I have been active in learning about energy and the environment, and in reporting on those topics for a decade. For the last four years I have added science policy. Lately, I have been reporting on the Covid-19 pandemic of our times.
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