We present the IHME projections of May 16 for the US, California, Texas, Florida, and New York in Total Deaths and compare it to Reported Deaths for August 1. We also show the Deaths to Go to August 1, and the Deaths per 100,000 for the US and the States.
In a separate table we show the projected Vaccinations by August 1 and the present Masking for the state, which is assumed constant to August 1.
The August 1 projection Table has columns of the State, the Total Deaths then, the Deaths to Go, the Reported Percent then, and the Deaths then per 100,000 (100k).
State | Total Deaths | Deaths to Go | Rep. % | Per 100k |
USA | 1,294,000 | 24,750 | 79% | 392 |
California | 125,017 | 2,085 | 74% | 318 |
Texas | 119,834 | 768 | 74% | 419 |
Florida | 96,288 | 2,355 | 79% | 454 |
New York | 84,885 | 1,953 | 82% | 453 |
We present a short table of the States, their Population in Millions, their Full Vaccinations percent on August 1, and their present Percent Masking, assumed constant to August 1 in the projections here.
State | Population | Vaccination | Masking |
USA | 330 m | 72% | 19% |
California | 39.3 m | 78% | 30% |
Texas | 28.6 m | 69% | 19% |
Florida | 21.2 m | 75% | 17% |
New York | 19.5 m | 83% | 28% |
New York hospitalizations are projected to have a broad peak around May 21 at 3,409. Deaths will peak there around May 29 at 28 per day.