IHME Global Projected Daily Covid Infections at a Minimum, to More Than Double by January 1.
Today, September 21, Global Daily Covid Infections are modeled at about 18 million a day. This will rise to 45 million per day by January 1, but be leveling off there, at 2.5 times as many as now.
The model uses 24% masking, 64% fully vaccinated, and mobility at 22% above pre-pandemic. Already, 65% of Global population is immune to Omicron through infection or vaccination.
Here is a map of the percent fully vaccinated around the world, from IHME.
Global Hospitalizations are at 200,000, and will double to 410,000 by January 1. ICU are at 28,000, or 14%, and will double to around 55,000 on January 1.
Global Total Daily Deaths are around 3,500 a day now, while reported ones are at only half of this. Total Daily deaths will more than double to 8,000 a day by January 1.
Global Total Deaths from Covid are at about 17.6 million, while Reported Deaths are about 7.1 million, or 40% of Total. Total Deaths from today to January 1 are projected to increase about 450,000. With 80% masking, this could be cut in half.
Here is the IHME map of Total Deaths per 100,000.
