The Global Death Rate from Covid will remain relatively low through the next three months, only increasing from about 1,660 to about 2,750 per day, or 65%. The modeled Total Death rate is about 1.7 times the Global Reported Death Rate. Covid deaths have fallen to 1/17th of the rate of the sum of heart and stroke deaths. Covid is now the 17th highest cause of death globally. Global daily deaths are down to 0.025 per 100,000 per day.
As of October 17th, 75% of the world’s 7.9 billion population has been infected by Covid. Outside of China, that is about 90 percent. Infection detection globally is only about 3%.
BA.5 is the dominant variant and is of the Omicron variety. The infection fatality rate is less than 0.2%.
24% of the world is masking. About 69% have received one vaccine shot, and 64% are fully vaccinated with two shots. Those unvaccinated and unboosted are at risk of long Covid.
The IHME model has 17.678 million Global Covid Total Deaths as of October 29. The Reported Deaths are only 7.143 million deaths, which is only 40% of the modeled Total Deaths. The Total Deaths three months from now on February 1 are projected at 18.031 million, or an increase of 353,000, or 2.0% more Total Deaths.
Global Hospitalizations on October 29 are given as 245,000, with 14% of those in ICUs. On February 1 these are projected to increase 4.5% to 258,000 with 13.4% in ICUs.
Estimated Daily Global Infections on February 1 are predicted to be 18.6 million a day, up 12% from 16.6 million a day on October 29.
The following map shows that vaccinations are generally low in Africa, as shown by red-yellow colors, and medium in Russia and Ukraine.
The following map shows per 100k capita Covid Reported and Total or Cumulative Deaths. The red, orange, and beige colors are largest, covering Russia, South America, some of Africa, and Southern US states.
