Category Archives: BA.5 Variant

IHME Covid Projections to March 1, 2023, for the United States

Posted on November 28, 2022 by Dennis SILVERMAN

IHME Covid Projections to March 1, 2023 for the US This article includes the IHME model projections, now until March 1, 2023.  As usual, I am not a doctor or an epidemiologist so this is not to be considered authoritative, … Continue reading →

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IHME Global Covid Projections to February, 2023

Posted on November 1, 2022 by Dennis SILVERMAN

The Global Death Rate from Covid will remain relatively low through the next three months, only increasing from about 1,660 to about 2,750 per day, or 65%.  The modeled Total Death rate is about 1.7 times the Global Reported Death … Continue reading →

Posted in Africa, BA.5 Variant, China, Coronavirus, COVID-19, IHME Projections, Russia, Ukraine, Vaccine Distributions, Variants of Covid-19 | Leave a comment

IHME Covid Projections for the US to February, 2023

Posted on October 27, 2022 by Dennis SILVERMAN

Pretty much steady as she goes.  The latest run was using data up to October 18. Total deaths on February 1 are 1,389,053.  Subtracting the model total for October 27 of 1,353,396 gives 35,653 more deaths to go.  Again, I … Continue reading →

Posted in BA.5 Variant, Coronavirus, COVID-19, Health Care, IHME Projections, Omicron Variant, Vaccine Distributions, Variants of Covid-19 | Leave a comment

IHME Projects Decline of Covid for California, then a Rise Again in the Fall

Posted on July 20, 2022 by Dennis SILVERMAN

The monthly IHME model for California was run on July 15 and reported on July 17.  It projects Total Deaths for California of 127,751 on November 1, 2022.  Subtracting 125,343 Total Deaths from today, July 20, gives 2,408 more to … Continue reading →

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IHME Projects USA Declining Cases, with Rise in the Fall

Posted on July 20, 2022 by Dennis SILVERMAN

The monthly IHME run on July 15 was reported on July 18. Total Deaths for the USA will total 1,332,288 in the model on November 1, 2020.  With 1,297,997 modeled today July 20, there are 34,291 more Total Deaths to … Continue reading →

Posted in BA.5 Variant, Coronavirus, COVID-19, IHME Projections, Omicron Variant, Vaccine Distributions, Variants of Covid-19 | Leave a comment