Worldwide Coronavirus deaths is almost at 200,000. The US has passed 50,000 deaths.
The Vice President said that he had a list of 16 states that were starting to loosen restrictions. I’m going to discuss five now, and along with the seven I gave the preferred restart dates for yesterday, makes up 12 of them.
Today, the IHME site had a date for when Georgia reached only one case per day per million, and that is a late June 22. So they are opening two months early.
Four more are Missouri on June 10, Pennsylvania on May 27, Oregon on May 27, and Idaho on May 16.
Sweden, which doesn’t have a lockdown, is projected to have an IHME release date of June 22. They are projected to have about 10,600 deaths within a very wide range. With 20.2 million population, about the size of New York State, the final death rate would be 0.05% of the population. I’m guessing that very old and vulnerable people would confine themselves anyway.
On the New York City data from yesterday, with some approximations since I didn’t have the dates and stats for the days on which they did the testing, I estimated that the number who had had the virus, compared to those tested positive with the virus, was a whopping 150. This beats 50-85 in San Jose, and 40 in Los Angeles. I hope that they release an official number on this in New York City. I don’t trust my value that much, so don’t quote me.
In New York State’s largest health care system, the fatality rate was 20% of those hospitalized. Of those who died, 57% had hypertension, 41% were obese, and 34% had diabetes. Asthma did not play a role. Of those admitted, 70% did not have a fever, in contrast to that being the main indicator, by the CDC.
In that system, before COVID-19, of those who needed to be on ventilators, 80% died. With COVID-19, that rose to 88%.
In China, 44% of the cases were passed on before symptoms appeared.
Today’s New York new COVID hospitalizations per day are about a third of what they were at the peak, and have been below the peak for 19 days. They would qualify for Trump’s transition to phase I, but you can see that the drop off is very slowly.
The Trump administration is bragging about how many and how fast they can get Coronavirus testing approved. The testing companies are responsible for self verifying their tests, and they aren’t accurate. The FDA has only approved four tests. They are bypassing the FDA with its $3.16 billion dollar budget, of which 22% is for Human Drugs. They have 17,500 employees.
