Category Archives: Variants of Covid-19

Covid Updates: China, Long Covid, Bivalent Omicron Vaccine Success

Posted on January 17, 2023 by Dennis SILVERMAN

Let’s start with the very positive.  The Pfizer bivalent Omicron vaccine is a success.  Israeli analysis of its use before patients 65 and over got infected, versus those not so boosted, showed that it resulted in 81% less hospitalization.  That … Continue reading →

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IHME Global Covid Deaths Modeled at More Than Twice that which are Reported

Posted on January 6, 2023 by Dennis SILVERMAN

IHME Global Covid Deaths Modeled at More Than Twice that which are Reported  The bad news is that the IHME model of total Covid deaths, as of April 1, 2023 of 18.6 million, will be more than twice that which … Continue reading →

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IHME Projections of Covid Surge for China with Peaking Infections in Mid-March

Posted on December 17, 2022 by Dennis SILVERMAN

IHME Projections of Covid Surge for China With Peaking Infections Mid-March The new December 16 issue of IHME Covid projections for China has fully vaccinated at 87%, with 59% masking.  Other sources say that China now has an inhaleable booster. … Continue reading →

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Being Vaccinated and Boosted Reduces Covid Deaths of Seniors by a Factor of 10

Posted on December 3, 2022 by Dennis SILVERMAN

In mid-2022, being vaccinated and boosted reduced the mortality of those 65 and over to only 10% of the unvaccinated in that age group. Since April 2022 to September 2022, for the senior 65 and over population, Covid deaths have … Continue reading →

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Full Vaccinations for the US and the Four Largest States, Including by Ages

Posted on November 28, 2022 by Dennis SILVERMAN

The data are from The NY Times for the US, the largest states of CA, TX, FL, and NY.  We also include the local counties of Los Angeles, Orange, and San Diego in California. Nationally, 68% are fully vaccinated, meaning … Continue reading →

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IHME Covid Projections to March 1, 2023, for the United States

Posted on November 28, 2022 by Dennis SILVERMAN

IHME Covid Projections to March 1, 2023 for the US This article includes the IHME model projections, now until March 1, 2023.  As usual, I am not a doctor or an epidemiologist so this is not to be considered authoritative, … Continue reading →

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IHME Global Covid Projections to February, 2023

Posted on November 1, 2022 by Dennis SILVERMAN

The Global Death Rate from Covid will remain relatively low through the next three months, only increasing from about 1,660 to about 2,750 per day, or 65%.  The modeled Total Death rate is about 1.7 times the Global Reported Death … Continue reading →

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IHME Covid Projections for the US to February, 2023

Posted on October 27, 2022 by Dennis SILVERMAN

Pretty much steady as she goes.  The latest run was using data up to October 18. Total deaths on February 1 are 1,389,053.  Subtracting the model total for October 27 of 1,353,396 gives 35,653 more deaths to go.  Again, I … Continue reading →

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IHME Global Projected Daily Covid Infections at a Minimum, to More Than Double by January 1

Posted on September 21, 2022 by Dennis SILVERMAN

IHME Global Projected Daily Covid Infections at a Minimum, to More Than Double by January 1. Today, September 21, Global Daily Covid Infections are modeled at about 18 million a day.  This will rise to 45 million per day by … Continue reading →

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IHME Projects Four Million Infections a Day in China by New Year’s

Posted on September 19, 2022 by Dennis SILVERMAN

IHME Projects Four Million Infections a Day in China by New Year’s We use the IHME model run on September 9.  For China, today, September 19th, there are projected to be about 320,000 infections a day.  However, the infections per … Continue reading →

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