Nov. 20, Orange County Blue Tide Keeps Rising

Nov. 20. Yawn, vote counting has slowed to 5% a day, as yesterday.

The Democrats have gained 38 seats nationally.  The lead of Democrats over Republicans in House votes set a record at 8.8 million.  Amazing.  Clinton beat Trump by only 3 million votes.  

CA 21

R David Valadao:    52,312, or 50.47%, up 231 votes from my yesterday’s report.

D TJ Cox:               51,343, or 49.53%, up 192  votes from my yesterday’s report.

The difference is now 969 votes for the Republican, up from 930 in my report, and a Republican gain of 39 votes.  So the rapid Democratic gain of my last report may have been almost counted.

The short is again that all four Orange County district races, and our local State Assembly district, are led by Democrats, called by the AP, and their tide keeps rising.  The rate of counting ballots has halved this week, so we are still looking at five more days of counting.   

CA 45

D Katie Porter              147,944, or 51.7%, up 943, slowing from 1,106 yesterday.

R (I) Mimi Walters.    138,346, or 48.3%, up 775, slowing from 869 yesterday.

The difference is now 9,598, or 3.4%, up only 168 from yesterday.  Of the 1,718 gain in total votes, D Porter got 55%, and R Walters got 45%, giving a 1.2 D/R ratio.

CA 48

D Harley Rouda.                  146,183, or 53.3%, up 1,029 from yesterday.

R (I) Dana Rohrabacher.   127,837, or 46.7%, up 661 from yesterday.  

D Rouda’s lead is now 18,346, up 368 from yesterday’s.  As a percentage of the 1,690 total vote gain, Rouda got 61%, and Rohrabacher got 39%, giving a D/R ratio of 1.56.  

CA 39

D Gil Cisneros  119,805, a gain of 2,654, to 51.2%.

R Young Kim.   114,284, a gain of 1,575, slipping to 48.8%.

D Cisneros’ lead is now 5,521, or 2.4%%.  Of the 4,229 gained, Cisneros got 63%, and Kim got 37%.  That is a D/R ratio of 1.7.

State Assembly District 74

D Cottie Petrie-Norris.   96,531, up only 293 from yesterday, and staying at 52.5%. 

R (I) Matthew Harper.   87,242, up only 160 from yesterday, and staying at 47.5%.

The difference is now 9,289 votes or 5.0%.  Of the 453 total increase, 65% went D, and 35% went R.  That is a ratio of 1.9 in favor of the Democrat.

Of the 476,011 votes to count after Election Day, 398,994 or 83.8% are counted, up only 3.0% from yesterday.  With 16.2% left to count, at the 3.0% a day rate, it could even take 5 or 6 days.  However, the Democratic winners keep gaining, and all of the races have been called by the AP.

About Dennis SILVERMAN

I am a retired Professor of Physics and Astronomy at U C Irvine. For a decade I have been active in learning about energy and the environment, and in lecturing and attending classes at the Osher Lifelong Learning Institute (OLLI) at UC Irvine.
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