We compare present worldwide and US deaths with the center of those projected by the latest IHME (U. Washington) model of June 15, 2020.
The World has passed 8.03 million cases, and the US is the leading country with 2.11 million cases, followed by Brazil with 0.89 million, Russia with 0.54 million, and India with 0.34 million.
World deaths and projections to October 1, 2020.
| Country | Present Deaths | Projected |
| US | 116,127 | 201,000 |
| Brazil | 43,959 | 166,000 |
| UK | 41,821 | 43,762 |
| Italy | 34,371 | 35,230 |
| France | 29,439 | 34,602 |
| Spain | 27,136 | 27,121 |
The US is projected to almost double the present number, but Brazil will increase fourfold. The other leading countries listed seem to have controlled their infections.
We compare the June 15 US deaths in leading states with those projected for October 1.
| State | Present Deaths | Projected |
| NY | 30,856 | 33,685 |
| NJ | 12,708 | 14,231 |
| MA | 7,647 | 8,671 |
| IL | 6,326 | 8,274 |
| PA | 6,243 | 8,831 |
| MI | 6,018 | 8,381 |
| CA | 5,114 | 15,155 |
| CN | 4,204 | 4,441 |
| LA | 3,018 | 4,231 |
| MD | 2,947 | 5,219 |
| FL | 2,938 | 18,675 |
| OH | 2,575 | 3,658 |
| GA | 2,494 | 10,142 |
| IN | 2,433 | 3,407 |
| TX | 2,001 | 5,567 |
| CO | 1,605 | 5,795 |
| VA | 1,572 | 2,184 |
The projections have a number of large surprises in projected increases in deaths by October 1. These are not indicated by the current lower deaths in these states. Florida has the largest number of total deaths in these states, with California next, and then Georgia. California has a population of 40 million, and Florida 21 million, but Georgia is 10 million. Texas at 28 million is the second largest state with a large increase, and Colorado has 6 million. Not listed above by present deaths, is Arizona, with 7,415 projected deaths, from its 7 million population.
