Category Archives: Omicron Variant

IHME Projections of Covid Surge for China with Peaking Infections in Mid-March

Posted on December 17, 2022 by Dennis SILVERMAN

IHME Projections of Covid Surge for China With Peaking Infections Mid-March The new December 16 issue of IHME Covid projections for China has fully vaccinated at 87%, with 59% masking.  Other sources say that China now has an inhaleable booster. … Continue reading →

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Being Vaccinated and Boosted Reduces Covid Deaths of Seniors by a Factor of 10

Posted on December 3, 2022 by Dennis SILVERMAN

In mid-2022, being vaccinated and boosted reduced the mortality of those 65 and over to only 10% of the unvaccinated in that age group. Since April 2022 to September 2022, for the senior 65 and over population, Covid deaths have … Continue reading →

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IHME Covid Projections for the US to February, 2023

Posted on October 27, 2022 by Dennis SILVERMAN

Pretty much steady as she goes.  The latest run was using data up to October 18. Total deaths on February 1 are 1,389,053.  Subtracting the model total for October 27 of 1,353,396 gives 35,653 more deaths to go.  Again, I … Continue reading →

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IHME Global Projected Daily Covid Infections at a Minimum, to More Than Double by January 1

Posted on September 21, 2022 by Dennis SILVERMAN

IHME Global Projected Daily Covid Infections at a Minimum, to More Than Double by January 1. Today, September 21, Global Daily Covid Infections are modeled at about 18 million a day.  This will rise to 45 million per day by … Continue reading →

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IHME Projects Four Million Infections a Day in China by New Year’s

Posted on September 19, 2022 by Dennis SILVERMAN

IHME Projects Four Million Infections a Day in China by New Year’s We use the IHME model run on September 9.  For China, today, September 19th, there are projected to be about 320,000 infections a day.  However, the infections per … Continue reading →

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IHME Projects Rapid Drop in US COVID, Then Resurgence Over the Holidays

Posted on September 19, 2022 by Dennis SILVERMAN

IHME Projects Rapid Drop in US COVID, Then Resurgence Over the Holidays Updates, September 23.  In The Atlantic article by Sarah Zhang quoting virologist Trevor Bedford, so far in September, 88% of US COVID deaths have been in people over … Continue reading →

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IHME Projects Rise in Covid Infections in Russia by November 1 to a Third of Previous Peak

Posted on August 7, 2022 by Dennis SILVERMAN

The IHME estimates that 98% of those in the Russian Federation have already been infected by the Covid virus. Only 3% of Russians are currently masking.  Only 51% are fully vaccinated which is projected to just rise to 53% by … Continue reading →

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IHME Projects Only 40% of Global Covid Deaths Have Been Reported

Posted on July 25, 2022 by Dennis SILVERMAN

IHME Projects Only 40% of Global Covid Deaths Have Been Reported. Future Total Deaths to November are over a half a million.  Half can be prevented by going  to 80% masking. IHME model numbers of Total and Reported Deaths are … Continue reading →

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IHME Projects Rapid Covid Rise in China. It Can Be Halved by 80% Masking.

Posted on July 24, 2022 by Dennis SILVERMAN

IHME Projects Rapid Covid Rise in China.  It Can Be Halved by 80% Masking. The IHME projections have been higher than have occurred since China has been very strict about masking and movement in infected areas. Current masking in China … Continue reading →

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IHME Projects Decline of Covid for California, then a Rise Again in the Fall

Posted on July 20, 2022 by Dennis SILVERMAN

The monthly IHME model for California was run on July 15 and reported on July 17.  It projects Total Deaths for California of 127,751 on November 1, 2022.  Subtracting 125,343 Total Deaths from today, July 20, gives 2,408 more to … Continue reading →

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